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Underdogs And Favorites 7.0 Or More.
The NCAA Tournament is the largest annual sporting event in North America. The sheer number of teams and volume of games creates dozens of betting opportunities for gamblers each year. And because of that over the past three decades several noteworthy NCAA Tournament betting trends have emerged.
There are innumerable of ways in which gamblers and statisticians can utilize the data from the hundreds of tournament games that have been played over the years. And there are thousands of successful and not-so-successful betting trends that have emerged along the way. Here are five interesting NCAA Tournament betting trends:
Robert Ferringo - No. 5 Seed vs. No. 12 Seed Betting Trends : This seeding matchup has produced more upsets than any other in the first round over the last 30 years. In fact, last year was the first time in 30 years that no No. 12 seeds scored an outright win in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Even though the books have started lowering spreads in these matchups the public is still cleaning up here. No. 12 seeds have gone 18-10 ATS over the past seven seasons, including an 8-4 ATS mark the last three years. Be wary: over the last 15 years the No. 12 seeds have gone just 51-49 ATS. However, an angle to look at in this arena is to play on No. 12 seeds that played in the previous season's tournament. Those teams have gone 22-18 SU and 30-10 ATS over the last 32 years.
Doc’s Sports - Betting No. 1 And No. 2 Seeds In Opening Rounds : There is always a lot of attention paid to the No. 1 seeds and the No. 2 seeds heading into the NCAA Tournament. These are the teams with the best odds of winning the national championship and they are the programs that garner the most futures betting action. However, there is a significant difference between how these two seed lines perform in their opening round games. No. 1 seeds are 99-1 SU and a strong 58-42 ATS over the last 25 years. That is a solid 58 percent ATS success rate. However, No. 2 seeds, while going 93-7 SU are just 44-56 ATS during that same span. That means by blindly betting $500 on No. 1 and No. 15 seeds over the past 23 years a bettor would be up over $10,000 in profit.
Jason Sharpe - Sweet 16 And Elite Eight Trends : All of the focus in the NCAA Tournament is on betting in the first round. However, there are several lucrative betting angles to pursue in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight as well. For example, Sweet 16 teams that have allowed fewer than 60 points in their previous game have gone an outstanding 36-13 ATS in the last 49 trials. These exceptional defensive teams make strong underdogs and are able to boost their defense with a week to prepare for their opponent. Further, underdogs of 3.5 or more are a solid 58-41 ATS in the Sweet 16 and Elite Eight. If you can find one of those underdogs that fits our defensive filter and you have yourself a moneymaker.
If you would like more insight as to what these 5 handicappers do daily for their clients you can get a $60 no obligation free trial of their premium member picks here.
Raphael Esparza - Eventual National Champions : It is obviously impossible to know which team is going to win the national championship before the tournament starts. However, a team's first round performance can be a good indicator. The eventual national champion has gone 14-3 ATS in their opening round game the past 17 years. Considering that the last five national champions, North Carolina, Villanova (twice), Duke, and Connecticut, have combined to go 28-2 ATS throughout the tournament it is safe to say that covering the spread in the first game of the tournament is a good sign that a team is for real.
Strike Point Sports - Underdog And Favorites Of 7.0 Or More : There are two strong betting systems that revolve around a spread of 7.0 or more. The first deals with handling underdogs that are off a massive upset. The second is in regards to teams off an offensive eruption. Underdogs of at least 7.0 points that are off a straight-up win as an underdog of at least 6.0 points have gone a woeful 8-22 ATS over their last 30 attempts. These big dogs generally face a steep letdown after springing a significant upset. It is important to note that this trend includes teams' performances in their conference championship games. Further, favorites of 7.0 or more that scored at least 100 points in their previous game are 22-9 ATS and are on a 17-4 ATS run in that role.
If you would like more insight as to what these 5 handicappers do daily for their clients you can get a $60 no obligation free trial of their premium member picks here.
Bills vs. Chiefs odds, predictions, betting trends for 2021 AFC championship game.
The Bills face the Chiefs in the AFC championship game at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday.
The game is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. and will be televised on CBS.
Kansas City is in the AFC championship game for the third consecutive season. The Chiefs advanced by holding on for a 22-17 victory against Cleveland in the divisional playoffs. Patrick Mahomes remains in concussion protocol, and his status will determine which way the betting trends go heading into Sunday.
Buffalo is back in the AFC championship game for the first time since the 1993-94 season. Josh Allen has led the Bills to eight straight victories, and the defense flexed in a 17-3 victory against Baltimore in the divisional playoffs.
It's an exciting matchup between two teams led by young quarterbacks.
Here's everything to know about betting on Bills vs. Chiefs in the 2021 AFC championship game, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for who will reach Super Bowl 55.
Bills vs. Chiefs odds.
The Chiefs have held as a three-point favorite, but the line has dropped to 2.5 at some sportsbooks. Clarity on Mahomes' status might lead to some late movement, but bettors looking to take the Bills won't get much more value than this.
Bills vs. Chiefs all-time series.
The Bills lead the all-time series 26-22-1. This marks the fourth postseason meeting between the teams. Kansas City beat Buffalo 31-7 in the 1966 AFL championship. Buffalo beat Kansas City in the AFC divisional playoffs in 1991 and AFC championship in 1993.
The Chiefs beat the Bills 26-17 in Week 6.
Three trends to know.
— The Chiefs are 1-9 ATS in their past 10 games, including playoffs. Kansas City has failed to cover the spread at Arrowhead Stadium in their past seven home games.
— The Bills are 9-1 ATS in their past 10 games, including playoffs. Buffalo is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season, but the lone loss was against Kansas City in Week 6.
— To this point, 54 percent of the wagering has come in favor of Buffalo covering the spread against the Chiefs. A total of 64 percent of the wagers are taking the Bills on the money line.
Three things to watch.
Will Mahomes play?
Mahomes remains in concussion protocol, and if he can't go the Chiefs will turn to veteran backup quarterback Chad Henne. Kansas City could go for a run-first attack either way knowing Clyde Edwards-Helaire rushed for 161 yards in the last meeting. Edwards-Helaire (hip) practiced last week and could return this week. Darrel Williams proved he could handle the workload against the Browns last week, and Le'Veon Bell also will get a handful of touches.
Allen to Diggs.
It might be the best connection in the NFL right now. Diggs has five 100-yard games in Buffalo's past six games. In that stretch, Diggs has 51 catches on 65 targets for 732 yards and six TDs. What can the Chiefs' secondary, led by Tyrann Mathieu, do to disrupt that connection, especially in the middle of the field? Diggs had six catches for 46 yards and a TD in the regular-season meeting.
Travis Kelce's impact.
Kelce finished with five catches for 65 yards and two TDs in the regular-season meeting. Mahomes or Henne will rely on Kelce in this matchup in the middle of the field, and Buffalo will have to make that adjustment in the red zone. Buffalo's linebackers can't lose Kelce this time around.
Stat that matters.
Time of possession. Kansas City controlled the ball for 37:45 in the first meeting against the Bills, their second-highest total of the season. The Chiefs can control the tempo with their running game, too, and Buffalo needs to counter that. In Kansas City's two losses, their opponents had the ball for more than 34 minutes. Granted, one of those losses was a Week 17 matchup against the Chargers when Henne started over Mahomes, but that point still stands.
Bills vs. Chiefs prediction.
We're going to make this pick with the assumption that Mahomes plays. Either way, Buffalo comes out with an aggressive passing attack, and Allen hits Diggs for a first-quarter TD. Allen keeps Cole Beasley and John Brown involved, but the Chiefs hold off the running game enough. Mahomes starts off shaky, but the magic act begins in the third quarter. He hits Kelce and Tyreek Hill for touchdowns, and the running game picks up in the fourth quarter. If Edwards-Helaire plays, that running game will be focused on even more. Buffalo scores a late TD for the final margin, but for the second straight week Andy Reid doesn't give the ball back.
Packers vs. Buccaneers odds, predictions, betting trends for 2021 NFC championship game.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers meet the Green Bay Packers in the NFC championship game at Lambeau Field on Sunday.
The game is scheduled for 3:05 p.m. and will be televised on FOX.
Green Bay returns to the NFC championship game for the second straight season. The Packers advanced with a 32-18 victory against the Rams in the divisional playoffs. Aaron Rodgers continues to play at a stunning MVP-caliber level under second-year coach Matt LaFleur.
Tom Brady is making his 14th conference championship appearance, but this marks his first one in the NFC. The Buccaneers defeated the Saints 30-20 in the NFC divisional playoffs. Bruce Arians is in his second season with Tampa Bay, and the franchise make-over with Brady has been impressive.
It's an exciting matchup between two teams led by young quarterbacks.
Here's everything to know about betting on Packers vs. Buccaneers in the 2021 NFC championship game, including updated odds, trends and our prediction for who will reach Super Bowl 55.
Packers vs. Buccaneers odds.
The Packers opened as a 3.5-point favorite, but the line has dropped a half-point. The Packers were also a three-point favorite in the regular-season matchup.
Packers vs. Buccaneers all-time series.
The teams played each other twice a year in the NFC Central until 2001. Green Bay leads the all-time series 33-22-1, and the Packers won the lone postseason matchup 21-7 in the NFC divisional playoffs at Lambeau Field on Jan. 4, 1998.
Tampa Bay beat Green Bay 38-10 in Week 6.
Three trends to know.
— The Packers are 11-6 ATS this season. Green Bay is 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS at Lambeau Field this season. The Packers are 7-2 ATS this season when favored by seven points or fewer.
— The Buccaneers are 10-8 ATS this season. Tampa Bay is 6-2 SU and 4-4 ATS on the road this season. The Buccaneers are 3-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
— A total of 54 percent of the wagers are coming in favor of the Packers covering the spread. A total of 53 percent of the wagers are coming in favor of the Buccaneers and the money line.
Three things to watch.
Packers' running game.
Green Bay has averaged 191.5 rushing yards per game in its past four home games behind the three-headed attack of Aaron Jones, Jamaal Williams and A.J. Dillon. Green Bay, however, could not generate a consistent running game in the first meeting. The Packers totaled just 94 yards, and Tampa Bay linebackers Devin White and Lavonte David combined for 18 tackles and five tackles for loss. The Packers' offensive line must be effective at the second level, and that will be a challenge without Pro Bowl tackle David Bakthiari.
Buccaneers' 1-2 punch.
Leonard Fournette did not play in the first meeting, and he's a physical back who will challenge Green Bay's interior defense. Ronald Jones II had 117 yards and two TDs in the first meeting. If that trend continues, then Brady should have success in the short passing game. Tight end Rob Gronkowski poses a matchup problem in coverage for Green Bay's linebackers, though Krys Barnes — who had 10 tackles in the last meeting and has been a late-season star — will play with a fractured thumb.
Rodgers vs. Brady.
Quarterback matchups don't come up like this often, and both quarterbacks are going to make big plays in the passing game. Who makes the rare mistakes? Rodgers threw two interceptions in the first meeting — the only game this season in which he threw multiple picks. That ignited a 28-point second quarter for Tampa Bay in a blowout. Rodgers threw just two picks at home this season. The Buccaneers were 0-4 in games when Brady threw two or more interceptions in 2020. Brady had thrown just one interception in Tampa Bay's past six games.
Stat that matters.
The Packers ranked first in the NFL in red-zone TD percentage at 78.5 percent this season, and Green Bay ranked 10th in red-zone defense, with TDs only at 58.2 percent. Tampa Bay ranked 11th on offense at 63.9 and 21st on defense at 63.2. In a game like this, the red-zone offense on both sides will be the key. The Packers have the edge, but the Buccaneers can change that.
Packers vs. Buccaneers prediction.
The Packers and Bucs will trade TDs in the first quarter, but Rodgers will give Green Bay a one-score lead before halftime with a TD pass to Davante Adams. Fournette and Jones will take turns pounding at Green Bay's defense in the third quarter, and that will wear on the back seven. Brady won't make the big mistake, and he will tie the game at with a TD pass to Brown, who slips past the defense for a game-tying score. Rodgers will get the ball last, however, and he'll take a page out of Brady's book. Mason Crosby's last-second field goal will end a thriller that sends the Packers back to the Super Bowl for the first time in a decade.
Final score: Packers 31, Buccaneers 28.
Acushnet Holdings Corp. (GOLF)
Previous Close 45.18 Open 45.45 Bid 45.81 x 800 Ask 45.86 x 800 Day's Range 45.07 - 46.00 52 Week Range 20.65 - 46.00 Volume 147,003 Avg. Volume 228,767.
Market Cap 3.415B Beta (5Y Monthly) 0.84 PE Ratio (TTM) 37.40 EPS (TTM) 1.23 Earnings Date Feb 25, 2021 - Mar 01, 2021 Forward Dividend & Yield 0.62 (1.39%) Ex-Dividend Date Dec 03, 2020 1y Target Est 39.71.
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