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п»їNFL football pool, pick'em, office pool, confidence picks for Week 8, 2020: Back the Packers.
SportsLine's advanced computer model locked in the top NFL office pool picks for Week 8.
Divisional matchups highlight the Week 8 NFL schedule, with Steelers vs. Ravens, Vikings vs. Packers, 49ers vs. Seahawks and Eagles vs. Cowboys peppering the slate. Despite being the only undefeated team remaining in the NFL, the Steelers enter Sunday's AFC North battle as 3.5-point underdogs, according to the latest NFL odds from William Hill. Pittsburgh is 5-1 against the spread in its last six games, but the Steelers are just 2-6-1 against the number in their last nine meetings against the Ravens. Which side should you back with your NFL office pool picks?
Meanwhile, the Seahawks are favored by three in their NFC West battle against the 49ers. Will Seattle bounce back from its first loss of the season or will San Francisco win its third straight game? And with only two games featuring double-digit NFL spreads, there will be some extremely tough calls for your Week 8 NFL confidence pool picks. Before you make your NFL predictions, you need to see the Week 8 NFL football pool picks from SportsLine's proven model.
This model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. It's off to a hot 74-30 start to the 2020 season, and anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated the entire Week 8 2020 NFL schedule 10,000 times and generated its optimal NFL pick'em plays. Go to SportsLine to see them.
Top Week 8 NFL office pool predictions.
One of the top Week 8 NFL pick'em predictions from the model: Green Bay gets a comfortable win at home against Minnesota. Green Bay has been sensational at Lambeau Field, winning its last eight home games. Minnesota, meanwhile, limps into Sunday's NFC North battle having won just one game this season.
Green Bay also dominated the Vikings earlier this season, beating Minnesota 43-34 in Week 1. Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers had a field day against Minnesota's defense that day, throwing for 364 yards and four touchdowns. Wide receiver Davante Adams also had a big day in Green Bay's Week 1 win, hauling in 14 receptions for 156 yards and two scores.
SportsLine's model predicts Green Bay's offense will pile up big numbers again on Sunday, as Rodgers throws for over 275 yards and two touchdown and Adams eclipses the 100-yard receiving mark for the third time in his last four games. Those are big reasons why the model predicts that Green Bay wins this rivalry game well over 60 percent of the time.
How to make Week 8 NFL office pool picks.
The model also made the call on every other Week 8 game and has strong picks for potentially close matchups like Ravens vs. Steelers and Browns vs. Raiders. It's also calling for a Super Bowl contender to go down hard. You can only see all of the model's NFL pool picks here.
NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 8, 2020: Proven model backing Ravens, Packers.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 8 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
The Packers are back in first place in the NFC North standings and now host the Vikings on Sunday with a chance to move to 6-1. Aaron Rodgers and company are six-point favorites in the latest Week 8 NFL odds from William Hill. Green Bay is the only team in the league with a perfect record against the spread at home (2-0) and the offense is back on track following its abysmal performance against Tampa Bay two weeks ago. Can the Packers cover one of the larger NFL spreads of the week?
Meanwhile, the Week 8 NFL betting lines also list the Chiefs as 19.5-point favorites at home against the Jets. That game originally opened with the Chiefs favored by 21.5 in the Week 8 NFL Vegas lines, making it just the third game to open with a spread of 20 or more in the last decade. All of the Week 8 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 8 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,800 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's off to a strong 15-7 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 8 on an incredible 111-72 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 8 NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 8.
One of the top Week 8 NFL predictions the model recommends: Baltimore covers comfortably as a four-point home favorite in a critical AFC North matchup against the Steelers. Pittsburgh is the only undefeated team remaining in the NFL at 6-0 and is also 5-1 against the spread.
Despite having nothing to play for with home-field advantage locked up and Lamar Jackson on the bench, the Ravens recorded a dominant 28-10 win as one-point underdogs the last time these two teams met last December. This game should look different with Lamar Jackson and Ben Roethlisberger back in their respective lineups, but even Pittsburgh's excellent rushing defense that ranked third in yards per carry was gashed for 361 total rushing yards in two losses to Baltimore last year.
After 10,000 simulations, the model says Baltimore covers well over 50 percent of the time. The under (44) also hits well over 50 percent of the time.
Another one of the top Week 8 NFL predictions from the model: The Packers (-6) cover as home favorites against the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have feasted against struggling defenses this year. The Packers have won and covered all four games against teams that give up more than 25 points per game. Minnesota certainly fits that bill, ranking 30th in the league in scoring defense at 32 points per contest.
The Vikings are a shell of themselves in the front seven with linebacker Anthony Barr (pectoral muscle) and defensive end Danielle Hunter (neck) on injured reserve. Minnesota also shipped defensive end Yannick Ngakoue to Baltimore last week. SportsLine's model predicts that Green Bay will score more than 30 points as the Packers cover in well over 50 percent of the simulations. The Packers also hold the Vikings under their season-long scoring average (25.8 points) as the over (50) hits well over 50 percent of the time.
How to make Week 8 NFL picks.
The model also has made the call on every other game on the Week 8 NFL schedule. It's also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 8? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,800 on its top-rated NFL picks.
College football picks, odds for SEC in Week 8: Georgia's offensive problem, Tennessee's dysfunction.
SEC Smothered & Covered looks at a couple SEC East teams in turmoil heading into late October.
Can you believe we're already at the midway point of the season for most teams in the SEC? It's hard to fathom given the turbulence of the offseason and uncertainty surrounding most of college football throughout it, but we've arrived in mid-October with storylines aplenty for the 14 programs that call the conference home.
No. 2 Alabama used a big second half performance to pull away from No. 4 Georgia last weekend, solidifying itself as the team to beat this season. The Crimson Tide hit the road this week to take on a reeling Tennessee team in the rivalry traditionally known as the "Third Saturday in October" despite getting pushed later this year. That will be your SEC on CBS Game of the Week at 3:30 p.m. ET. No. 17 LSU will hit the field after having last week's game vs. No. 10 Florida postponed, but it is going to be running into a confident South Carolina team that is fresh off a dramatic win over Auburn.
Let's break down some of the biggest SEC storylines entering Week 8 and make picks against the spread.
Appetizer: Tennessee's dysfunctional, again.
There's a great book by Mark Nagi called "Decade of Dysfunction" that details just how crazy the last decade was for the Volunteers. The new decade isn't exactly getting off on the right foot. Jarrett Guarantano has lost his grip on the starting quarterback spot, defensive line coach Jimmy Brumbaugh was fired after just four games, and two straight losses have erased the good vibes created by the eight-game winning streak that was broken in Week 3.
Main course: Georgia's quarterback issues.
Georgia on Saturday looked a lot like LSU during the final few years of the Les Miles era against Alabama. It can win games in its somewhat conservative comfort zone that relies heavily on its defense, but it is toast if a team forces it outside of its comfort zone. Why? The offense is limited -- specifically the downfield passing attack. That's on Stetson Bennett IV.
The former walk-on known as the "Mailman" has completed just 26.7% of his passes that travel 15 or more air yards beyond the sticks. For comparison's sake, Alabama quarterback Mac Jones is completing 70.6% of those passes, LSU's Myles Brennan is at 61.5% and Vanderbilt's Ken Seals is chiming in at 40%. That despite having George Pickens and Kearis Jackson out there available to haul in those deep balls.
Does that mean that there should be a quarterback change? Not necessarily. USC-transfer JT Daniels is still recovering from last season's knee injury, D'Wan Mathis struggled in the opener and Jamie Newman opted out. Smart was asked about that possibility on Tuesday.
"We look at the off weeks as an opportunity to get everybody better, so it will be no different at any position in terms of the reps we are able to get," he said. "During a game week, we give ones 78% of the reps, twos 20-30% of the reps, but then our threes get a lot of reps during the week because they go against the other units. This week, we will get to get a lot of guys reps. JT will get reps, D'Wan will get reps, Stetson will continue to get reps. We try to develop our roster -- that's the way we look at it. It doesn't change, it just gives a chance to give more guys work and see where they are in their progress. That's true at every position and true at quarterback."
Any possibility of Georgia getting revenge on Alabama in the SEC Championship Game is a pipe dream. That's not to say that Georgia can't get there. Maybe it can. But it will likely have to get into a shootout with SEC East rival Florida, and as we saw last weekend, that probably won't go well for the Bulldogs.
Dessert: Props for Sam Pittman, Barry Odom.
If you would have told me before the season that Arkansas would be 2-2 (and should be 3-1) in Pittman's first season as an FBS head coach, I would have sent you straight to the doctor to get your head examined. After all, he's in the roughest neighborhood in the country in the SEC West, has a roster that isn't comparable to the rest of the division and didn't get any tune ups prior to the self-contained SEC season. None of that mattered. Why? Because Pittman has the self-awareness to recognize that he's going to need some help to turn this thing around.
Enter: Odom. The former Missouri head coach got that job for a reason -- his top tier defensive prowess. That prowess has made its way to Fayetteville, Arkansas, where he has produced a defense that ranks fourth in the SEC in yards per play (5.01), fifth in scoring defense (25.5 PPG), third in third-down conversion percentage (32.25%) and second in opponent red zone touchdown percentage (50%). That'll do, Hogs.
SEC college football picks.
Odds via William Hill Sportsbook.
No. 2 Alabama (-21) at Tennessee : Oddsmakers could make this line Alabama (-41), and I'd still probably take the Crimson Tide. This boils down to one thing: Can "Tennessee Quarterback X" get into a shootout with Jones and the explosive Tide offense? Of course not. I don't like to pick any Bama dial-a-score games, but this one is an exception. This is, at the very least, a four-touchdown game. Pick: Alabama (-21)
South Carolina at LSU (-6.5): Can we trust LSU now that it got an impromptu bye week? Will defensive coordinator Bo Pelini remember how to make adjustments? No … we can't. With that said, the Gamecocks don't really stretch the field through the air and shouldn't be able to exploit the Tigers' defensive weakness enough to get the win. Quarterback Myles Brennan is questionable, but that doesn't matter. This offense has been explosive through the air because of the scheme and the receivers, and those guys will lead the Tigers to a double-digit win. Pick: LSU (-6.5)
Auburn (-3) at Ole Miss: Who do you trust more, Auburn's offense or Ole Miss' defense? That's a sad, sad question. But Tigers running back Tank Bigsby is averaging 4.1 yards per carry after contact -- the second-most among qualifying running backs in the country. Bo Nix's struggles will put more of the focal point on Bigsby, who has proven that he can handle the workload. Auburn will grind it out, keep the explosive Rebels offense off of the field and get out of Oxford, Mississippi, with a seven-point win. Pick: Auburn (-3)
Kentucky (-5) at Missouri: I'll be honest … this line shocked me. Sure, Missouri has had two weeks to prepare for the Wildcats. But have you seen Kentucky's defense? It's next-level good. That will force this game to be an old-school slugfest, which plays right into UK's hands. Its three-headed rushing attack will put a ton of pressure on the Tigers, and it hit a few big plays to pull away late for the win and cover. Pick: Kentucky (-5)
Records -- Straight up: 18-8 (2-3 last week) | ATS: 11-14 (3-2 last week)
College football odds, picks, predictions for Week 8, 2020: Proven model backing Alabama, Penn State.
SportsLine's advanced computer model simulated every Week 8 college football game 10,000 times.
The eight-game Big Ten schedule means a smaller margin of error for teams in that conference during the 2020 college football season. The Week 8 college football odds from William Hill list No. 5 Ohio State as a 26-point favorite against Nebraska, while No. 18 Michigan is laying 3.5 points on the road against No. 21 Minnesota in two of the more intriguing matchups in the opening weekend of Big Ten action. A loss for any of those contenders would be a huge setback for their postseason outlook.
Should you target either of those lines during the Week 8 college football schedule? And which other games around the nation should you jump on in your Week 8 college football bets? Before making any Week 8 college football picks on those games or others, be sure to see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine's proven model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $4,100 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It is a sizzling 25-13 on top-rated picks through seven weeks of the 2020 college football season, returning over $700 in profit already. Anybody who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest college football odds for Week 8 from William Hill and locked in picks for every FBS matchup. Head to SportsLine to see every pick.
Top Week 8 college football predictions.
One of the top Week 8 college football picks the model is recommending: No. 2 Alabama (-21.5 at William Hill) covers on the road against Tennessee in the 3:30 p.m. ET SEC on CBS matchup. Alabama is coming off an impressive 41-24 victory over then-No. 3 Georgia in Week 7.
Quarterback Mac Jones and running back Najee Harris are building Heisman campaigns, while receivers Devonta Smith and Jaylen Waddle will also be a lot to handle for a Tennessee team that stumbles into this matchup after getting blown out 34-7 by Kentucky.
The Vols have huge concerns at quarterback. Jarrett Guarantano hasn't been able to protect the ball this year and Tennessee very well could end up playing multiple guys on Saturday. The simulations show Jones throwing for almost 300 yards, with Harris adding around 100 on the ground as Alabama covers well over 60 percent of the time.
Penn State put up big numbers on offense last season, scoring an average of 35.8 points per game. The Nittany Lions will be without running back Journey Brown, who is out with an undisclosed medical issue, but they have a strong replacement in Noah Cain, who scored two touchdowns in Penn State's Cotton Bowl win over Memphis to wrap up last season.
Quarterback Sean Clifford also returns after throwing for 2,654 yards and 23 touchdowns last season. The model is calling for Clifford to throw for well over 200 yards, while Cain has a great chance to score a touchdown as Penn State covers in well over 60 percent of simulations. The under (62) also has plenty of value since that hits almost 70 percent of the time.
How to make Week 8 college football picks.
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in Week 8, and it is also predicting a major upset in the SEC. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So what college football picks can you make with confidence in Week 8? And which SEC underdog will pull off a shocking upset? Check out the latest Week 8 college football odds below for some of the week's biggest games, and then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $4,100 in profit over the past four-plus seasons, and find out.
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Week 8 NFL picks.
OF COURSE Jerry Jones wears his mask like this.
Falcons at Panthers (-2) : A recap of the Thursday night games so far this year:
Week 1: Texans at Chiefs Week 2: Bengals at Browns Week 3: Dolphins at Jaguars Week 4: Broncos at Jets Week 5: Buccaneers at Bears Week 6: No game Week 7: Giants at Eagles.
Week 1 was of course the NFL kickoff game, and they went Deshaun Watson vs. Patrick Mahomes, which makes sense. Since then, there's been one interesting matchup all season (Bucs-Bears). Are they just like, "Screw it, they'll watch whatever we put on?"
Patri*ts at Bills (-3.5) : In their last 12 games going back to last season, the Patri*ts are 4-8. They have also lost three straight games, in which they have averaged fewer than 300 total yards per game. The Patri*ts had an extremely long, sustained period of dominance (helped by cheating, of course), and it's going to take some time to get used to viewing them as a bad team, which is what they now are.
In the meantime, bet against them until the rest of the population catches up, because there's no way that this line should only be 3.5 points.
Titans (-5.5) at Bengals : Derrick Henry vs. one of the worst run defenses in the NFL feels like a pretty easy call.
Raiders at Browns (-2.5) : Both of these teams look like legitimate playoff contenders one week, and like trash the next. I don't trust either of them.
Colts (-3) at Lions : If the Lions can somehow beat the Colts on Sunday, they'll have a stretch of easy games thereafter:
At Vikings Football Team At Panthers Texans.
Could they be surprise playoff contenders?
Vikings at Packers (-6.5) : The Packers beat the Vikings handily Week 1, and swept them in 2019. The Vikings have already begun selling off assets, and we eulogized them on Tuesday.
Jets at Chiefs (-19.5) : Hm, the best team in the NFL vs. the worst team in the NFL? Tough choice here. Actually, if you haven't used the Chiefs yet in your survivor pool, it's not the best week to play hero and pick anyone else, in my opinion. Actually, this will be my third straight week picking against the Jets, which I don't like to do, but, I mean, come on.
Rams (-4) at Dolphins : Are the Dolphins kinda good now, or am I crazy? When you look at their roster, there aren't many recognizable names, but they are well coached, and they have smoked their last two opponents (the 49ers 43-17, and the Jets 24-0). Tua Tagovailoa will make his first NFL start on Sunday, and I'm in for the ride. Give me Miami to win, oh and sure, I'll take 4 points too.
Steelers at Ravens (-4) : I got a good look at both of these teams preparing for their matchups against the Eagles (and in the actual Eagles games), and I think it's just as simple as saying that I think the Steelers are better. ВЇ\_(гѓ„)_/ВЇ
Also, the Steelers are good at stopping the run, which matches up nicely against what the Ravens do best (run the ball).
Chargers (-3.5) at Broncos : For my Giants fan readers: Would you rather have Josh Allen (the pass rusher) and Justin Herbert, or Daniel Jones and Andrew Thomas?
I mean, we all know the answer. Just, lol.
Saints (-4.5) at Bears : Nick Foles isn't good right now. Sorry. ВЇ\_(гѓ„)_/ВЇ
If I know Nick Foles, however, he has one more really bad performance in him before Chicago fans completely turn on him, he gets benched, and then improbably wins a couple of games to close the season and make the playoffs after Mitch Trubisky gets hurt.
49ers at Seahawks (-2.5) : The Seahawks haven't played a bad game all year. The Niners have played several. Give me the team that hasn't played any bad games. #Analysis.
Cowboys at Eagles (-7.5) : This line opened at 6.5 points, is up to 7.5, and I suspect it'll jump even higher once Andy Dalton is ruled out and the Cowboys have to start Ben DiNucci. Get your bets in before that happens, because this Cowboys team is straight garbage.
Quarterback: It turns out Dak was kind of important. Zeke Elliott: Washed. Offensive line: Wrecked. Run defense: Stinks. Pass defense: Also stinks. Coaching staff: Disaster. Locker room: Powder keg a brewin'.
If the Eagles can't smoke this train wreck of a team, then what are we even doing?
Buccaneers (-10.5) at Giants : The Giants' margins of defeat this season:
Week 1: 10 Week 2: 4 Week 3: 27 Week 4: 8 Week 5: 3 Week 6: They won! Week 7: 1.
At 10.5 points, the Giants would have covered 6 of 7 games. Are we thinking the Bucs are such a juggernaut that they should be double-digit road favorites? I'll take the 10.5.
Survivor pick.
Week 1: Ravens (Result: W ) Week 2: Buccaneers (Result: W ) Week 3: Colts (Result: W ) Week 4: Rams (Result: W ) Week 5: Cowboys (Result: W ) Week 6: Dolphins (Result: W ) Week 7: Bills (Result: W ) Week 8: Chiefs.
• Eagles picks: 3-3-1.
• 2020 season, straight up: 67-35-1 (0.655) • 2020 season, ATS: 19-16-1 (0.542) • 2019 season, straight up: 160-107-1 (0.601) • 2019 season, ATS: 42-35-3 (0.544) • 2018 season, straight up: 173-94-2 (0.647) • 2018 season, ATS: 41-36-2 (0.532) • 2017 season, straight up: 181-86 (0.678) • 2017 season, ATS: 36-32-2 (0.529) • 2016 season, straight up: 171-94-2 (0.644) • 2016 season, ATS: 41-34 (0.547) • 2015 season, straight up: 163-93 (0.637) • 2015 season, ATS: 46-30-2 (0.605)
• Last 6 years, ATS: 222-179-10 (0.552)
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