A win here for Thurman means he can set his sights on the winner of Spence vs. Porter once it’s confirmed by the end of 2019 or early 2020.Manny Pacquiao and Keith Thurman are reportedly in “advanced talks” for a welterweight title fight this July. This intriguing fight will be huge for boxing fans across the world, Thurman will put his WBA titles on the line.SOURCES: Manny Pacquiao and Keith Thurman are in advanced talks for a pay-per-view welterweight title showdown that’s being targeted for July 13. No deal yet but it’s expected to be completed #boxing.Boxing Betting Odds: Manny Pacquiao vs. Keith Thurman.Manny Pacquiao who’s now 40, recently outboxed Adrien Broner in January. The “Pac Man” has been appealing for a rematch against Floyd Mayweather once again, who doesn’t want a Mayweather paycheque these days? For now though it appears Mayweather is not interested. A win here for Pacquiao might be enough to convince Mayweather to warrant a massive PPV breaking rematch.
Keith “The One” Thurman (29-0) is 10 years younger than Pacquiao, but styles make fights and we’ve seen Thurman have difficulty with certain southpaw boxers in the past – such as Luis Collazo. If Thurman beats Pacquiao he will unify all the WBA belts and cement his legacy as one of the great welterweights in boxing.Betway are offering Keith Thurman at 4/6, with Manny Pacquiao at 6/5 and the draw listed at 18/1.
THE FACTS.LAS VEGAS, NEVADA - JANUARY 19: Manny Pacquiao celebrates after defeating Adrien Broner by . [+] unanimous decision during the WBA welterweight championship at MGM Grand Garden Arena on January 19, 2019 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)In the past year, meaning between July 3, 2018 to July 2, 2019, the top performing piece of Pacquiao content on Facebook was a video that generated 611 thousand responses where he was teaching his son Emmanuel Pacquiao Jr. how to box.The top performing piece of social media content around Manny Pacquiao between June 2 and July 2 was a two hour Facebook Live Video from June 20 where he was singing and responding to fan comments that generated 303 thousand responses.
HE WHO CONTROLS THE NARRATIVE.If you look at the chart above that shows the line history and movements, it's no coincidence as to when and why the odds shifted in Pacquiao's favor. Aside from the metrics I've already expressed and there being a crawl toward Pacquiao becoming the favorite, on June 25, Pacquiao posted the following sweepstakes on his Twitter in addition to the following Facebook video of him training.The bookmakers have one goal and that's to take as little of a risk position as possible, meaning, their only goal is to have the same amount of money placed on each fighter while their profit is in the juice (commission) they charge the sports bettor for using their platform to place the bet. Once the opening line is set, the oddsmakers wait and see where the money is going and then adjust accordingly. In this case, money has consistently been coming in on Pacquiao at the rate of 61.1 percent to 38.9 percent for Thurman since the opening line. The sportsbooks then adjust the line to both inspire perceived value and to attract money on the other side. Hence, limiting their risk.
LINE HISTORY.In order to understand why the odds have shifted and why Pacquiao is now the odds on favorite, you have to understand how the lines are set and why they move.In contrast, while the audience doesn't know that much about Thurman, they are actively trying to learn more. Between June 28 and July 4, there were 28 thousand page views around the Keith Thurman Jr. Wikipedia page, compared to 45.9 thousand page views around the Manny Pacquiao Wikipedia page. The 61 percent traffic around Thurman's Wikipedia page indicates that the public is curious about figuring out just how big a threat Thurman is for Pacquiao.