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п»їNFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 6, 2020: Proven model backing Ravens, Colts.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 6 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
Coming off a bye week, the Packers are the only team in the NFL with a perfect record against the spread. They'll put their streak on the line as one-point favorites against the Buccaneers in the latest Week 6 NFL odds from William Hill. That line opened with the Packers favored by 2.5, but we saw heavy movement throughout the week. In fact, the over-under also jumped from 52 to 55. It's one of eight games on the Week 6 NFL schedule with a spread of three points or fewer.
Panthers vs. Bears also has one of the tighter Week 6 NFL spreads, with Carolina favored by one. Both teams are 3-2 against the spread on the season and have three outright wins as underdogs, but this will be Carolina's first game as a favorite. All of the Week 6 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 6 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,500 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's off to a strong 10-5 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 6 on an incredible 106-70 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 6 NFL odds and NFL betting lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 6.
One of the top Week 6 NFL predictions the model recommends: The Ravens (-9.5) cover the spread on the road against the Eagles. Philadelphia is 1-3-1 straight-up this season and just 1-4 against the spread. The Ravens, meanwhile, have a 4-1 straight-up record with a 3-1-1 mark against the spread.
Philly has been hit hard by injuries and could be missing multiple receivers. The Eagles could be without star offensive lineman Lane Johnson as well after he hurt his ankle against Pittsburgh last week. Baltimore hasn't been fazed playing on the road, as it has covered in six of its last seven away games. SportsLine's model has the Ravens covering the spread well over 60 percent of the time, with the over (46.5) clearing by half-a-point.
Another one of the top Week 6 NFL picks from the model: Indianapolis covers as an eight-point favorite over Cincinnati. While new Colts quarterback Philip Rivers has been up and down, Indianapolis' defense makes the team an AFC playoff contender. The Colts rank second in the NFL in scoring defense and first in total defense despite giving up season-highs in points (32) and yards (385) in a loss to the Browns last week.
Now, they'll take on a Bengals team that has one of the softest offensive lines in football. Cincinnati averages just 3.9 yards per carry and has allowed 22 sacks.
The model says the Colts cover well over 50 percent of the time. You can also book the over (46), which hits more than 60 percent of the time.
How to make Week 6 NFL picks.
The model also has made the call on every other game on the Week 6 NFL schedule. It's also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 6? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,500 on its top-rated NFL picks.
Pete Prisco's NFL Week 6 picks: Steelers cool off Rival Browns, Bills bounce back to stun Chiefs,
Prisco reveals his NFL picks for Week 6, including a close one between Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers.
I can't lie. I am on a bit of a heater right now with my picks.
That's why I go into every week just waiting to cool down. It has to happen, right? It will happen, right?
I sure hope not.
I went 8-5 against the spread last week — we didn't pick the Bills-Titans game — to up my record to 45-30-1. I was 8-5 straight up as well to go to 51-24-1 on the season. My Best Bets on the Pick Six Podcast were 4-2 ATS to get to 20-9-1 on the year.
Yes, they are taking to calling me Pandemic Pete on the podcast since it appears to be my year with the picks.
Let's keep it that way.
Who'll win and cover in Week 6? Pete Prisco, R.J. White and SportsLine's Kenny White join host Will Brinson to break down every game on the Pick Six Podcast; listen below and be sure to subscribe for daily NFL goodness.
All odds are via William Hill Sportsbook.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-3)
The Texans got their first victory of the year last week against Jacksonville, but this is a big step up. The Titans are playing on a short week, which is tough. But they impressed against Buffalo and will impress here. The Titans take it.
Pick: Titans 30, Texans 23.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)
This is the game of the week. But the Browns haven't won at Pittsburgh since 2003. Why would that change here? Cleveland is a run-heavy team that will want to control the clock, but that won't happen in this one. The Steelers, meanwhile, will have success throwing it. Steelers take it.
Pick: Steelers 31, Browns 21.
Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles.
The Ravens haven't quite played as well on offense this season as expected. But that will change against the Eagles. Look for Lamar Jackson to have a big day against the Eagles secondary. The Ravens defense will also get the best of the Philly offense. Ravens win it big.
Pick: Ravens 29, Eagles 20.
Washington Football Team at New York Giants (-2.5)
This is the dog game of the week. The Giants haven't won yet and Washington has one victory. The Giants showed some life last week against the Cowboys, which will carry over. The Giants will win their first game.
Pick: Giants 23, Washington 17.
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5)
Raheem Morris takes over as Falcons coach with the firing of Dan Quinn. Can he bring some life to this team? The defense is woeful, and now must face a Vikings offense that can run it, even without Dalvin Cook. The Vikings are home for the first time in two weeks and they will find a way to win this one. It might be closer than expected.
Pick: Vikings 27, Falcons 26.
Detroit Lions (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars.
Matthew Stafford isn't putting up big numbers, but that will change against Jacksonville. The Jaguars have major issues on defense and Stafford will light them up. The Jaguars will also be able to move the ball and score some points. This will be a high-scoring game, but it's the Lions who will win it.
Pick: Lions 36, Jaguars 28.
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-8)
This is another tough road test for the Bengals, who were beat up last week by the Ravens. The Colts lost to the Browns last week and Philip Rivers didn't play well. He will here. Look for the Colts to bounce back.
Pick: Colts 24, Bengals 13.
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (-2.5)
This is surprisingly a big game between two good teams. The Panthers have impressed on both offense and defense and the young defense should be able slow Nick Foles and the gang. Teddy Bridgewater keeps on winning.
Pick: Panthers 27, Bears 17.
News York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-9)
This game was moved from Week 9 in the COVID scheduling changes. That's good news for Miami. The Jets are a mess. The Dolphins played well last week in blowing out the 49ers. That will continue here as the Dolphins beat former coach Adam Gase.
Pick: Dolphins 28, Jets 14.
Green Bay Packers (-2) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
This is Aaron Rodgers vs. Tom Brady. It doesn't get any better than that — even at their advanced ages. The Packers are coming off a bye, while the Bucs played last Thursday. The Packers are really rolling on offense, which is why I think Rodgers will get the best of this one. The Packers will stay undefeated.
Pick: Packers 34, Bucs 30.
Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers.
The 49ers are so banged up and they are playing poorly. They have quarterback issues, which is never a good thing. The Rams went 4-0 against the NFC East, but that's a bad division. They are playing well, which is why they will win this game. Jared Goff has a big game. The 49ers are a mess.
Pick: Rams 30, 49ers 20.
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (-9.5)
This game was postponed because of Covid, which can help the Patriots because they could have Cam Newton and Stephon Gilmore back. The Broncos didn't look great in beating the Jets a few weeks ago, so look for them to struggle here. New England wins, no matter who plays quarterback. If it's Newton, they win big.
Pick: Patriots 31, Broncos 17.
The Bills looked bad against Tennessee, while the Chiefs didn't play well against the Raiders in their loss. So who re-groups here? I think if the Bills have Tre'Davious White back they will win it, and I think he will play. Josh Allen will beat Patrick Mahomes in a battle of gunslingers.
Pick: Bills 33, Chiefs 31.
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) at Dallas Cowboys.
This will be Andy Dalton starting for the Cowboys with Dak Prescott gone for the season. The Cardinals are playing a third consecutive road game, which is tough — and it's in prime time. But I think Kyler Murray and the offense will show up big here. This will be a shootout.
Pick: Cardinals 34, Cowboys 30.
NFL Picks Against the Spread: Super Bowl LV.
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2020): 9-6-1 (+$1,090) NFL Picks (Week 2, 2020): 13-3 (+$1,910) NFL Picks (Week 3, 2020): 12-4 (+$1,230) NFL Picks (Week 4, 2020): 6-7-2 (-$675) NFL Picks (Week 5, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,770) NFL Picks (Week 6, 2020): 5-9 (-$2,365) NFL Picks (Week 7, 2020): 6-7-1 (-$580) NFL Picks (Week 8, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,210) NFL Picks (Week 9, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,945) NFL Picks (Week 10, 2020): 5-8-1 (-$825) NFL Picks (Week 11, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,935) NFL Picks (Week 12, 2020): 10-6 (+$2,395) NFL Picks (Week 13, 2020): 6-9 (-$235) NFL Picks (Week 14, 2020): 10-6 (+$1,330) NFL Picks (Week 15, 2020): 6-9-1 (+$210) NFL Picks (Week 16, 2020): 11-5 (+$1,140) NFL Picks (Week 17, 2020): 8-7-1 (+$985) NFL Picks (Week 18, 2020): 1-5 (-$1,430) NFL Picks (Week 19, 2020): 3-1 (+$285) NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$250)
NFL Picks (2020): 137-124-7 (+$3,815) NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200) NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845) NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300) NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780) NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215) NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885) NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825) NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445) NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335) NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880) NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235) NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105) NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585) If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ. Vegas betting action updated Feb. 2, 2:20 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.
Super Bowl LV Pick Chiefs at Buccaneers.
Get more free NFL picks for every game Doc's Sports.
Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$250) Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$400) Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 0-0 ($0) Last Week Over-Under (Week 20, 2020): 0-2 ($0) Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 20, 2020): -$150.
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-2, 50.0% (-$135)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-124-6, 52.5% (+$3,815) 2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965) 2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515) 2020 Season Over-Under: 140-122-6, 53.4% ($0) 2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$225.
1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%) 2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%) 2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%) 2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%) 2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%) 2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%) 2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%) 2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%) 2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585) 2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105) 2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235) 2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880) 2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335) 2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445) 2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825) 2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885) 2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215) 2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780) 2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300) 2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845) 2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%) 2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%) 2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%) 2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%) 2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%) 2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110) 2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510) 2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260) 2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180) 2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715) 2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130) 2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890) 2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820) 2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475) 2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395) 2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670) 2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%) 2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%) 2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%) 2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%) 2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%) 2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420) 2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055) 2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330) 2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790) 2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260) 2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650) 2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970) 2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120) 2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465) 2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595) 2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735) 2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%) 2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%) 2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%) 2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%) 2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%) 2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%) 2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900) 2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860) 2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195) 2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5) 2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135) 2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30) 2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340) 2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0) 2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95) 2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640) 2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225) 2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035 2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775 2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865 2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200 2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590 2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685 2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245 2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855 2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275 2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510 2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495 2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715.
2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%) 2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400) 2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720) 2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640) 2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810) 2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870) 2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560) 2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900) 2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350) 2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100) 2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780) 2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040) 2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640) 2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,994-2,761-179, 52.0% (+$14,120) Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 957-859-49 (52.7%) Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 452-396-23 (53.3%) Career Over-Under: 2,462-2,416-66 (50.5%) Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%) Career NFL Picks of the Month: 44-29-1 (60.3%)
My Team-by-Team ATS Record This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.
NFL picks, predictions for Week 6: Steelers hold off Browns; Chiefs, 49ers rebound in prime time.
Week 6 of the NFL season features great quarterback matchups — and the focus will be on the Tom Brady-Aaron Rodgers and Patrick Mahomes-Josh Allen quarterback duels in the big spotlight games.
Dallas' Andy Dalton also will be making his first start with his new team on "Monday Night Football" against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals.
Five divisional games, however, have our attention. The Titans-Texans matchup is interesting with Tennessee coming off a short week. The Jets are looking for their first win against the Dolphins, and the Giants are looking for their first win against Washington. San Francisco faces pressure heading into a "Sunday Night Football" matchup against the Rams.
The big game, however, is the Browns-Steelers matchup in Pittsburgh. Cleveland has a chance to knock off an unbeaten team, and this AFC North rivalry has a little more meaning now. That’s the best game of the week.
Last Week: 9-5 Season: 17-10.
With that in mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 6 of the NFL season.
NFL picks, predictions for Week 6.
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Falcons fired Dan Quinn after a 0-5 start, and the Vikings might be without Dalvin Cook (groin). Both defenses give up more than 30 points per game, but the Vikings ride Alexander Mattison to victory here in a close one.
Pick: Vikings 29, Falcons 27.
Houston Texans at Tennessee Titans (-2)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
We have no idea what to expect from the Titans at this point given the COVID-19 issues surrounding the team. The Texans have lost three of the last four at Tennessee, but it depends on how the Titans respond to a short week. We’re going to take Deshaun Watson in the upset.
Pick: Texans 28, Titans 26.
Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) at Philadelphia Eagles.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Ravens' defense has found its footing since the loss to the Chiefs, and they have allowed just 10 points per game in victories against Washington and Cincinnati. The Eagles present a stiffer challenge, but Baltimore’s offense is just too efficient right now.
Pick: Ravens 31, Eagles 17.
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-8)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Rookie quarterback Joe Burrow took eight sacks against Philadelphia and seven more in the loss to the Ravens last week. Indianapolis will be coming next, and their defense will be motivated after giving up 32 points to the Browns last week.
Pick: Colts 23, Bengals 17.
Detroit Lions (-3.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
This game appears to have more implications for the 2021 NFL Draft than anything else. The Lions had a bye week to shore up the protection around Matthew Stafford, but Detroit must squeak out another one-score victory on the road.
Pick: Lions 26, Jaguars 21.
Washington Football Team at New York Giants (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Speaking of the No. 1 pick, this NFC East rivalry features two teams still looking for a superstar quarterback. New York’s offense showed up in the loss to Dallas, but the Redskins make it ugly. Chase Young comes up with a late sack to seal the victory.
Pick: Washington 19, Giants 17.
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Bears are underdogs for the second straight week, but the offense has changed direction with Nick Foles. Carolina is a hot team with Teddy Bridgewater, who has thrown just one interception and taken two sacks through a three-game win streak. He will be under more heat in this one.
Pick: Bears 26, Panthers 23.
Denver Broncos at New England Patriots (TBD)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Patriots are another team whose schedule continues to change by the day because of COVID-19, and we have no idea who will be their starting quarterback at this point. We’re sticking to the same prediction as last week.
Pick: Patriots 28, Broncos 19.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, CBS.
Emotions should be high because this is the first matchup with big implications in this rivalry in a while. The Steelers’ defense showed holes in the secondary last week, and Baker Mayfield will make some big plays in the passing game. Cleveland will lead at halftime, but the Steelers will rally in the fourth quarter for another big victory at the Browns' expense.
Pick: Steelers 29, Browns 27.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-8)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Dolphins have won two of their last three behind Ryan Fitzpatrick, who has a pair of 300-yard games in that stretch. The Jets haven't been able to stop the pass. They will join the Giants in the 0-6 club.
Pick: Dolphins 31, Jets 23.
Green Bay Packers (-2.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.
The marquee showdown features Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. The Packers are coming off the bye week, and the Buccaneers had extra rest after the "Thursday Night Football" loss to the Bears. This is another prove-it game for Brady, and the Buccaneers will lead for three quarters before Rodgers leads a fourth-quarter comeback. You can flip the script and take Tampa Bay if you want. Either way, the game lives up to the hype.
Pick: Packers 33, Buccaneers 31.
Los Angeles Rams (-3.5) at San Francisco 49ers.
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
The Rams and 49ers both have top-five defenses when it comes to yards allowed, and that should lead to a grind-it-out game, and Jimmy Garoppolo faces more pressure than anyone else here. At home, San Francisco delivers.
Pick: 49ers 23, Rams 20.
Kansas City Chiefs (-3) at Buffalo Bills.
Monday, 5 p.m. ET, FOX.
This game got pushed back from its "Thursday Night Football" spotlight, and it’s Buffalo’s chance to shine on the national stage. The Chiefs were upset by the Raiders in Week 5, but they are more accustomed to this prime-time spot. Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen put on a show, but the Chiefs come out on top.
Pick: Chiefs 33, Bills 24.
Arizona Cardinals (-2.5) at Dallas Cowboys.
Monday, 8:15 p.m., ESPN.
Andy Dalton is the next man up at quarterback for the Cowboys, and the offense can still function with him at quarterback. This is a homecoming of sorts for Kyler Murray, a Texas high-school legend who has the Cardinals in the playoff hunt. Some might want to write Dallas off. We just think this is the next roller-coaster ride.
NFL odds, lines, picks, predictions for Week 6, 2020: Proven model backing Ravens, Colts.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 6 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
Coming off a bye week, the Packers are the only team in the NFL with a perfect record against the spread. They'll put their streak on the line as one-point favorites against the Buccaneers in the latest Week 6 NFL odds from William Hill. That line opened with the Packers favored by 2.5, but we saw heavy movement throughout the week. In fact, the over-under also jumped from 52 to 55. It's one of eight games on the Week 6 NFL schedule with a spread of three points or fewer.
Panthers vs. Bears also has one of the tighter Week 6 NFL spreads, with Carolina favored by one. Both teams are 3-2 against the spread on the season and have three outright wins as underdogs, but this will be Carolina's first game as a favorite. All of the Week 6 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 6 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,500 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's off to a strong 10-5 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 6 on an incredible 106-70 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 6 NFL odds and NFL betting lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 6.
One of the top Week 6 NFL predictions the model recommends: The Ravens (-9.5) cover the spread on the road against the Eagles. Philadelphia is 1-3-1 straight-up this season and just 1-4 against the spread. The Ravens, meanwhile, have a 4-1 straight-up record with a 3-1-1 mark against the spread.
Philly has been hit hard by injuries and could be missing multiple receivers. The Eagles could be without star offensive lineman Lane Johnson as well after he hurt his ankle against Pittsburgh last week. Baltimore hasn't been fazed playing on the road, as it has covered in six of its last seven away games. SportsLine's model has the Ravens covering the spread well over 60 percent of the time, with the over (46.5) clearing by half-a-point.
Another one of the top Week 6 NFL picks from the model: Indianapolis covers as an eight-point favorite over Cincinnati. While new Colts quarterback Philip Rivers has been up and down, Indianapolis' defense makes the team an AFC playoff contender. The Colts rank second in the NFL in scoring defense and first in total defense despite giving up season-highs in points (32) and yards (385) in a loss to the Browns last week.
Now, they'll take on a Bengals team that has one of the softest offensive lines in football. Cincinnati averages just 3.9 yards per carry and has allowed 22 sacks.
The model says the Colts cover well over 50 percent of the time. You can also book the over (46), which hits more than 60 percent of the time.
How to make Week 6 NFL picks.
The model also has made the call on every other game on the Week 6 NFL schedule. It's also identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 6? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,500 on its top-rated NFL picks.
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