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п»ї2021 Holy Bull Stakes odds, contenders, lineup: Proven expert reveals surprising picks, predictions.
Bob Weir has been on fire, and on Saturday he targets the Holy Bull Stakes 2021 at Gulfstream Park.
Gulfstream Park's road to the 201 Kentucky Derby begins in earnest on Saturday afternoon when nine three-year-olds leave the starting gate in the 2021 Holy Bull Stakes at the Hallandale Beach, Fla., track. The connections of the horses in the Holy Bull will hope to move on to Gulfstream's next 2021 Kentucky Derby prep race, the Fountain of Youth Stakes, on Feb. 27. Gulfstream's Derby prep races conclude on March 27 with the biggest of them all, the Grade 1 Florida Derby.
For Saturday, the Shug McGaughey-trained Greatest Honour is the 5-2 favorite in the 2021 Holy Bull Stakes odds. Prime Factor (3-1) and Sittin On Go (5-1) are among the other top contenders in the 2021 Holy Bull Stakes field. Post time for the $200,000 race is 4:50 p.m. ET. With a wide-open field set to enter the starting gate on Saturday, you'll want to see the horse racing predictions from proven expert Bob Weir before making any 2021 Holy Bull Stakes picks.
Based in Saratoga Springs, N.Y., Weir has been handicapping and following horse racing since reading Andy Beyer's landmark handicapping book "Picking Winners" in the late 1980s. Weir is highly invested in the Beyer Speed Figure, a number assigned to every race run by a horse that measures how fast the horse ran. He uses the figure as the backbone of his handicapping. In fact, thanks to his proficiency with speed figures and top-tier handicapping, he landed one of just eight spots on Beyer's figure-making team in 2017, a position he holds to this day.
Weir's methodology has produced multiple five-figure days. In 2014, he hit a $60,000 Pick 6 at Del Mar. The following year, he nailed a $31,000 Pick 6 at Gulfstream Park. In 2016 and 2017, Weir qualified for the prestigious National Horseplayers Championship in Las Vegas.
Now, Weir has studied the 2021 Holy Bull Stakes lineup and has released his picks, predictions and best bets. You can see them all over at SportsLine.
Top 2021 Holy Bull Stakes predictions.
One shocker: Weir's top selection is not Greatest Honour, even though he is the 5-2 favorite. Trained by McGaughey, a member of racing's Hall of Fame, and ridden by top jockey Jose Ortiz, Greatest Honour finally entered the winner's circle in his most recent start, a 1/16 miles race at Gulfstream on Dec. 26. He also has a second and two thirds in four career starts.
But in all four starts he has not shown much speed out of the gates; he has been forced to rally from seventh in every start. That does not bode well in this field, which features some talented horses with some early speed. In addition, Gulfstream Park has historically favored speed and not been friendly to late runners.
Another surprise: Weir is high on Sittin On Go, even though he's an underdog at 5-1. This $65,000 purchase has two wins in four career starts. He hasn't raced since finishing sixth, beaten by five lengths, in the Kentucky Jockey Club at Churchill Downs on Nov. 28.
Since that race, Sittin On Go has reportedly been training well for his three-year-old debut. "Trainer Dale Romans usually makes his presence known at some point in these Gulfstream Park three-year-old races," Weir said. Weir is using Sittin On Go in all of his 2021 Holy Bull Stakes bets.
How to make 2021 Holy Bull Stakes picks.
Weir's top pick is a horse who "could be something special." He also is high a double-digit long shot who is "capable of hitting the board." Weir is including these horses in his 2021 Holy Bull Stakes bets, and so should you. He's sharing which horse to back only at SportsLine.
Who wins the Holy Bull Stakes 2021? And which horses do you need to include in your exactas and trifectas? Check out the latest 2021 Holly Bull Stakes post positions and odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Weir's picks for the Holy Bull Stakes, and find out.
My Guys: Dwain McFarland's favorite high-stakes, battle-tested fantasy football picks.
Over the summer months, I have focused on providing actionable fantasy insights across a multitude of players and situations for the 2020 fantasy season. (You can find my QB Tiers, RB Tiers, WR Tiers and TE Tiers at the corresponding links and the entire collection of PFF analysts' tiers rankings here.)
Pairing these articles with the latest rankings updates will create a firm foundation for your upcoming drafts.
The intent of this article isn't to revisit those items — they serve as a reference point. This article is about that moment when all of the research merges with optimal roster construction strategies. In this Zen-like state, it isn't about data points or projections anymore — it is about the clarity that occurs as a result of hard work.
I have drafted 10 teams at $300 or higher — battle-testing my rankings, tiers and roster-construction strategies. The following is an outline of the players I select most often.
Better known as “My Guys.”
Running Back.
Derrick Henry – With an increase in passing-down utilization, the dependency on game-scripts lessens for Henry. Darrynton Evans will be involved, too, but Henry is going to be on the field more than ever. He should be the fourth back drafted.
Five-Time High-Stakes Titleist Shares Top Fantasy Football Sleeper, Bust & Breakout.
2020 PRESEASON PRO.
Sleeper: RB Damien Harris, NE.
Heading into 2020, the Patriots have the stigma of being one of the worst offenses in the NFL after losing QB Tom Brady. Despite their offseason questions, they remain co-favorites in the AFC East with a proven 20-year history of success.
Last year I viewed Harris as the top running back in the draft, but he finished with only four catches for 12 yards while battling a couple of injuries.
RB Sony Michel lost his college explosiveness in his sophomore season in the NFL. He gained only 3.7 yards per carry with only three of his 247 runs gaining over 20 yards.
Harris showed big-play ability over his last three years at Alabama (6.8 yards per rush) while adding growth in the passing game (22/204) in 2018.
Only a late-round dart or a waiver wire follow, with a good chance to emerge as New England’s top rusher over the second half of the year.
Breakout: WR CeeDee Lamb, DAL.
When getting ready for the upcoming football season, there are two levels of research. First, a fantasy owner needs to get in tune with each player's history and market value. The next step is figuring out how each player fits in their offense. When doing this, reflecting on last year's stats is a good starting point.
Lamb won’t be a breakout by name, but he will be by his early draft value (ADP – 91 as the 34th wide receiver drafted). Last year the Cowboys moved to 2nd in the NFL in passing yards. They already have two top wide receivers (Amari Cooper – 79/1189/8 and Michael Gallup – 66/1107/6). Some fantasy owners will struggle to see enough targets for Lamb in his rookie season.
This year Lamb directly replaces WR Randall Cobb (55/828/3 on 83 targets), plus Dallas lost TE Jason Witten (63/529/4 on 83 targets). Dallas should push higher offensively, and Lamb looks to be a lock for 100 targets in his rookie season.
In 2020, Lamb will face single coverage on many plays. He has the talent to win in the deep passing game or the open field with his legs, never mind the built-in upside if one of the top two Cowboys’ WRs had an injury.
Bust: QB Lamar Jackson, BAL.
Jackson was a beast last year, thanks to his ability to run (176/1206/7). He scored 30 fantasy points or more in nine of his 15 starts.
Now, you have to be asking yourself, “How can LAMAR JACKSON be a bust?”
Last year he scored 37.3 percent of his fantasy points in the run game in four-point passing touchdown leagues. Any player carrying the ball is at risk on any play. One bad hit and Jackson could lose all his value.
Here’s the rub: Jackson showed growth as a passer (66.1 percent completion rate and 36 TDs), but he averaged only 26.7 passes resulting in 208 passing yards per game. Typically, this low total in passing yards doesn’t add up to 36 TDs.
I get the attraction to TE Mark Andrews (10 TDs) and WR Marquise Brown (seven TDs), but how do WR Willie Snead, WR Miles Boykin, WR Devin Duvernay, and TE Nick Boyle add up to impact TDs?
His WR corps ranked last in the NFL in 2019 in catches (115), receiving yards (1,419), and targets (178). And it didn’t improve much in the offseason as far as new additions.
Look for regression in his rushing attempts and TDs, and then look back at QB Patrick Mahomes in 2018 (482.45 fantasy points with 5,097 yards and 52 TDs). He missed two games last year while scoring 24 fewer TDs last year. Elite production ebbs and flows and you're going to have to draft Jackson earlier than ever.
Also, defensive coordinators across the league have been working all winter on how to slow down Jackson.
Comeback: WR Brandin Cooks, HOU.
After four straight seasons with over 1,000 yards receiving, Cooks lost his way in 2019 (42/583/2). His year started with three reasonable games (3/74/1, 8/112, and 6/71) over his first four starts. He left Week 8 early due to a concussion, which led to two missed games. In essence, Cooks offered no playable fantasy value over his final ten games (23/287/1 on 41 targets).
The trade of WR DeAndre Hopkins creates a massive opportunity for one or more wide receivers for Houston. Over the past three seasons, Hopkins caught 315 passes for 4,115 yards and 31 TDs, which was 49.1 percent of the WR catches (641), 49.6 percent of the WR receiving yards (8,299), and 54.4 percent of the WR TDs (57) for the Texans over this span.
If Cook can retain 75 to 80 percent of the WR1 targets for the Texans, he’ll push way back up the wide receiver rankings. Before last year, his catch rate (65.9) graded well while delivering 24 catches over 40 yards. He didn’t miss a game from 2015 to 2018, which led to 29 TDs in 64 games.
I expect him to finish as a top-20 wide receiver in 2020.
Stash: WR Tee Higgins, CIN.
The cloudiness at wide receiver for the Bengals will lead to Higgins flying under the radar in his rookie season. WR A.J. Green is a great player when healthy, and he looks good to go this year. WR Tyler Boyd proved to be a valuable possession type player over the last two seasons.
When adding a rookie QB, it is tough to project enough chances for Higgins in 2020. His talent is immense while only needing opportunities to prove his worth.
His early ADP (182) paints him as an upside WR6.
QB Joe Burrow jumps to the NFL with three talented wide receivers and a top ten option at running back. It would be hard to expect regression in the passing game from 2019 for the Bengals. Even in a tough division, Cinci will throw the ball a lot in 2020. Last year they ranked sixth in the NFL in passing attempts (616).
I don’t expect as many throws this year, but the quality of passing plays will improve dramatically by having Green and Higgins on the field.
A fantasy owner could look at Higgins as almost a handcuff to Green, while also having WR2 upside if one of the top two wide receivers for Cinci has an injury.
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