п»їNFL Picks Against the Spread: Super Bowl LV.
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2020): 9-6-1 (+$1,090) NFL Picks (Week 2, 2020): 13-3 (+$1,910) NFL Picks (Week 3, 2020): 12-4 (+$1,230) NFL Picks (Week 4, 2020): 6-7-2 (-$675) NFL Picks (Week 5, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,770) NFL Picks (Week 6, 2020): 5-9 (-$2,365) NFL Picks (Week 7, 2020): 6-7-1 (-$580) NFL Picks (Week 8, 2020): 9-5 (+$1,210) NFL Picks (Week 9, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,945) NFL Picks (Week 10, 2020): 5-8-1 (-$825) NFL Picks (Week 11, 2020): 3-11 (-$1,935) NFL Picks (Week 12, 2020): 10-6 (+$2,395) NFL Picks (Week 13, 2020): 6-9 (-$235) NFL Picks (Week 14, 2020): 10-6 (+$1,330) NFL Picks (Week 15, 2020): 6-9-1 (+$210) NFL Picks (Week 16, 2020): 11-5 (+$1,140) NFL Picks (Week 17, 2020): 8-7-1 (+$985) NFL Picks (Week 18, 2020): 1-5 (-$1,430) NFL Picks (Week 19, 2020): 3-1 (+$285) NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$250)
NFL Picks (2020): 137-124-7 (+$3,815) NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200) NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845) NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300) NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780) NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215) NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885) NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825) NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445) NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335) NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880) NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235) NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105) NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585) If you don't quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ. Vegas betting action updated Feb. 2, 2:20 p.m. ET. Follow @walterfootball for updates.
Super Bowl LV Pick Chiefs at Buccaneers.
Get more free NFL picks for every game Doc's Sports.
Last Week's NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$250) Last Week's 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 2-0 (+$400) Last Week's 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 20, 2020): 0-0 ($0) Last Week Over-Under (Week 20, 2020): 0-2 ($0) Last Week's Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 20, 2020): -$150.
2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-2, 50.0% (-$135)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-124-6, 52.5% (+$3,815) 2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965) 2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515) 2020 Season Over-Under: 140-122-6, 53.4% ($0) 2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$225.
1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%) 2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%) 2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%) 2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%) 2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%) 2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%) 2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%) 2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%) 2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585) 2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105) 2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235) 2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880) 2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335) 2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445) 2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825) 2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885) 2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215) 2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780) 2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300) 2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845) 2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%) 2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%) 2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%) 2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%) 2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%) 2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110) 2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510) 2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260) 2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180) 2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715) 2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130) 2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890) 2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820) 2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475) 2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395) 2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670) 2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%) 2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%) 2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%) 2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%) 2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%) 2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420) 2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055) 2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330) 2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790) 2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260) 2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650) 2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970) 2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120) 2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465) 2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595) 2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735) 2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%) 2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%) 2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%) 2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%) 2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%) 2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%) 2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900) 2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860) 2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195) 2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5) 2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135) 2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30) 2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340) 2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0) 2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95) 2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640) 2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225) 2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035 2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775 2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865 2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200 2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590 2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685 2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245 2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855 2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275 2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510 2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495 2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715.
2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%) 2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400) 2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720) 2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640) 2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810) 2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870) 2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560) 2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900) 2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350) 2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100) 2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780) 2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040) 2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640) 2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)
Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 2,994-2,761-179, 52.0% (+$14,120) Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 957-859-49 (52.7%) Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 452-396-23 (53.3%) Career Over-Under: 2,462-2,416-66 (50.5%) Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 22-15-1 (61.1%) Career NFL Picks of the Month: 44-29-1 (60.3%)
My Team-by-Team ATS Record This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

NFL picks, predictions for Week 10: Seahawks rebound vs. Rams; Steelers survive Bengals; Bears keep reeling.
Week 10 of the NFL season is here, and the schedule leaves a little to be desired.
There are only three matchups between teams with winning records, and that starts Thursday with the AFC South showdown between the Colts and Titans. The early set of Sunday games is brutal, but the afternoon features two more excellent matchups.
The Rams and Seahawks meet in a NFC West showdown, and the Bills and Cardinals face off in a battle between quarterbacks Josh Allen and Kyler Murray. Our attention also is on the Vikings-Bears matchup on Monday Night Football. Will the Vikings be able to stay hot in the division and perhaps re-ignite a playoff run?
Last Week: 10-4 Season: 51-32.
With that as the mind, below are our picks and predictions for Week 10:
NFL picks, predictions for Week 10.
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans (-1)
Thursday, 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX/NFL Network.
AFC South rivals meet with the division lead on the line, and the Colts' second-ranked run defense will be a test for Tennessee. The Titans have lost the last two meetings at home, but they win a close on here.
Pick: Titans 24, Colts 22.
Houston Texans at Cleveland Browns (-3)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Browns had a bye week to get healthy, and Baker Mayfield and Deshaun Watson can put on a show knowing both pass defenses are weak. The difference will be Houston's inability to stop the run. Cleveland gets back on the winning track, but the Texans can steal this game if Mayfield doesn't protect the football.
Pick: Browns 34, Texans 27.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Green Bay Packers (-14)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Packers are huge favorites at home, and lines like that are risky given how up-and-down Green Bay's defense has been. Jacksonville can slow the game down a little bit with James Robinson at running back, but they can't keep with the Packers' offense for four quarters.
Pick: Packers 33, Jaguars 19.
Washington Football Team at Detroit Lions (-4)
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Alex Smith threw three interceptions in the loss to the Giants last week, but he also had two 100-yard receivers in Terry McLaurin and Cam Sims. Matthew Stafford threw two picks last week, too, and the veteran quarterbacks will play a typical wild game as a result. There is a potential upset here.
Pick: Washington 27, Lions 24.
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) at New York Giants.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Eagles had a bye week to prepare for the rematch with the Giants, and Carson Wentz had 359 passing yards in the first meeting. New York kept the first meeting close and have improved in the running game, but Philadelphia increases its lead in a weak division with a season sweep.
Pick: Eagles 28, Giants 23.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6) at Carolina Panthers.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET, FOX.
Tom Brady bounced back to beat the Panthers after the first loss to the Saints in Week 1, and he will do it again here. Carolina's Christian McCaffrey suffered yet another injury, and that's going to make it that much more difficult to keep up. Antonio Brown scores his first TD of the season, too.
Pick: Buccaneers 27, Panthers 20.
Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders (-4.5)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS.
Derek Carr has averaged just 138 passing yards per game in the Raiders' last two victories, but they have been able to run the ball effectively. Denver's Drew Lock has established connections with rookie receivers Jerry Jeudy and KJ Hamler, and we're going to try an upset for the second straight week. If the Broncos can run the ball, then it will happen.
Pick: Broncos 29, Raiders 27.
Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins (-1.5)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m., CBS.
Can Tua Tagovailoa lead a playoff run? It's starting to become a real question, and it will be amplified when the Dolphins win here. Miami's defense has allowed 17 points or less the last three weeks. That's the difference against rookie Justin Herbert.
Pick: Dolphins 27, Chargers 24.
Buffalo Bills at Arizona Cardinals (-2.5)
Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET, CBS.
The Bills upset the Seahawks in Week 9 and continue that momentum on the road against the Cardinals. The matchup between Josh Allen and Kyler Murray should be fun. It's a game where one turnover could be the difference, and Buffalo has the better turnover margin. Buffalo pulls out the victory in a thriller.
Pick: Bills 28, Cardinals 25.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams (-1.5)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.
The Seahawks' defense remains an issue, and the Rams had a bye week to scheme for a key NFC West showdown. Los Angeles has won three of the last four meetings, all of which have been decided by five points or less. This time, Russell Wilson leads the game-winning drive.
Pick: Seahawks 31, Rams 28.
San Francisco 49ers at New Orleans Saints (-9)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX.
The 49ers were riddled by injuries and COVID-19 issues, and this game likely won't resemble last year's classic shootout. Drew Brees, who hasn't thrown an interception in the Saints' last three games, pushes New Orleans to a sixth straight victory.
Pick: Saints 35, 49ers 19.
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers (-9)
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS.
A nasty AFC North rivalry is renewed, and the Bengals are playing better around Joe Burrow. Ben Roethlisberger returned from a knee injury to lead the Steelers past Dallas. Burrow has taken 14 sacks in three division games, and Pittsburgh leads the league with four sacks per game. That's the difference.
Pick: Steelers 31, Bengals 20.
Baltimore Ravens (-7) at New England Patriots.
Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET, NBC.
Lamar Jackson led a 37-20 blowout against the Patriots on Sunday Night Football last season, and the Ravens jumped out to a 17-0 lead in that game. New England does not have enough offense to keep up, even if Bill Belichick can throw in a few wrinkles that slow the Ravens down this time.
Pick: Ravens 28, Patriots 18.
Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears (-2)
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN.
The Vikings are starting to climb back into the fringe of the NFC playoff race after back-to-back division wins. The Bears are trying to break a three-game losing streak. Kirk Cousins is 0-3 as a starter with Minnesota against Chicago, but he breaks that streak in a close game with the help of Dalvin Cook.

NFL Office Pool Picks Week 10.
The NFL is waiting for 4 p.m. EST on Sunday to showcase their top games of the week. The 7-2 Bills will face the 5-3 Cardinals, while the 6-2 Seahawks take on the 5-3 Rams. Also, in the late slate, weвЂ™ll get to see Joe Burrow try to pull off an upset against the 8-0 Steelers, who struggled against the Cowboys just last week. DonвЂ™t start sleeping during the 1 p.m. EST games and miss the 4 p.m. EST games. YouвЂ™re going to miss out.
Many of our readers have NFL office pools that use them against the spread picks. WeвЂ™re here to help you win those pools. ItвЂ™s our mission to beat all of your co-workers and family members or friends for a little bit of money or bragging rights. HereвЂ™s the breakdown of every NFL game.
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Texans vs Browns: Just when you think the Texans will get back on track, they give you questionable performances. The Texans shouldвЂ™ve destroyed last week and flat out didnвЂ™t. I don't like backing the Browns, but theyвЂ™ll win this one at home. Take the Browns -3.
Washington vs Lions: I wouldnвЂ™t be confident in either team, but the Football Team has injuries at quarterback and really doesnвЂ™t have any answer on offense. IвЂ™d trust Matthew Stafford to make enough plays to help the Lions cover in this one. Take the Lions -4.
Jaguars vs Packers: Jake Luton will get his second straight start for the Jaguars. He led the Jags on an almost game-tying touchdown. They just didnвЂ™t convert the two-point conversion against the Texans. However, itвЂ™s going to be really hard for Luton to match score for score with Aaron Rodgers. Take the Packers -13.5.
Buccaneers vs Panthers: The Panthers got good news last week with the return of Christian McCaffrey. Well now they get bad news as McCaffrey wonвЂ™t be playing in this game due to a shoulder injury. The Buccaneers looked awful against the Saints last week, but look for those guys to hit reset and win this one with ease. Take the Buccaneers -5.5.
Chargers vs Dolphins: Many will be tuning into this game. ItвЂ™s Tua Tagovailoa against Justin Herbert. Many analysts and teams debated on the better prospect. Now is the time for both of these guys to shine. Tagovailoa looked much better in his second game, but Herbert has consistently put together incredible games with many touchdowns and a high amount of yards per game passing. The Dolphins defense does enough for me in this spot. Take the Dolphins -2.5.
Bills vs Cardinals: The Bills are 7-2 and just shocked the Seahawks last week. The Bills offense drove down the field with ease against a very bad Seahawks secondary. The Cardinals are a much better defense, but even they allowed Tagovailoa to carve them up at times. I like the Bills to keep it rolling. Take the Bills -1.5.
Seahawks vs Rams: The Seahawks are underdogs on the road against the Rams. Both teams are fighting for a top spot in the NFC West and have winning records. The Rams defense shows up every game, but that offense can struggle at times. HereвЂ™s some news though. They wonвЂ™t struggle against the Seahawks. Take the Rams -1.5.
49ers vs Saints: The 49ers are banged up and the Saints just absolutely destroyed the Buccaneers at almost full strength. The Saints are a 9.5-point favorite, and yet that doesnвЂ™t even seem like enough. As long as the Saints carry their momentum into this game, the second half will be a breeze. Take the Saints -9.5.
Bengals vs Steelers: The Steelers underperformed against the Cowboys and kind of embarrassed themselves. However, the Bengals offensive line has been terrible all season long, even after getting the win two weeks ago against the Titans. The pressure will get to Burrow, and the Steelers will escape with another win and stay undefeated. Take the Steelers -7.
Ravens vs Patriots: The Patriots almost lost to the Jets and needed a game-winning field goal to decide that game. The Patriots have been terrible against the run defensively. You know what that means, right? The Ravens will run all over the Patriots on Sunday night. Take the Ravens -7.
Vikings vs Bears: I feel like these records should be flipped. The Vikings should be 5-4, while the Bears should be 3-5. Either way, the Vikings offense has been very hot recently and now have a tough task against the Bears defense. But the Vikings defense wonвЂ™t have much of a problem against an underwhelming Bears offense. The Vikings offense does enough for this win. Take the Vikings -2.5.
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NFL odds, lines, spreads, picks, predictions for Week 10, 2020: Proven model loving Buccaneers, Saints.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 10 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
The Pittsburgh Steelers escaped a serious threat to their undefeated record last week, escaping Dallas with a 24-19 victory to improve to 8-0 for the first time in the franchise's storied history. Pittsburgh can run it to 9-0 this week when they welcome talented rookie quarterback Joe Burrow and the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals are 10-point underdogs according to the latest NFL odds from William Hill Sportsbook, one of the largest NFL spreads of the week and one of just two to reach double-digits.
Can Pittsburgh stay unbeaten and improve its hold on the AFC North, or can the Bengals spring the upset? And which games in Week 10 hold the most favorable matchups for your NFL bets? All of the Week 10 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 10 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,600 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago.
It's off to a strong 16-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 10 on an incredible 112-73 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 10 NFL odds and NFL betting lines from William Hill, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 10.
One of the top Week 10 NFL predictions the model recommends: The visiting Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-6) cover as favorites against the Carolina Panthers. The Buccaneers are 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home, while quarterback Tom Brady is still shining for the Buccaneers, throwing for 2,398 yards and 20 touchdowns against seven interceptions.
On the other sideline, the Panthers welcomed back superstar running back Christian McCaffrey last week, who romped to 151 yards of total offense and two touchdowns in a last-second, 33-31 loss to the Chiefs. McCaffrey, who had missed several games with a high ankle sprain, injured his shoulder against the Chiefs and is out Sunday.
SportsLine's model projects that Brady outplays Panthers quarterback Teddy Bridgewater and that the Panthers struggle to reach 100 rushing yards without McCaffrey. The model also says Tampa Bay covers in well over 50 percent of simulations. The over (51) has plenty of value because it hits almost 60 percent of the time.
Another one of the top Week 10 NFL predictions from the model: The Saints (-10) cover against the 49ers. After picking up four consecutive wins by one score, New Orleans left no doubt against Tom Brady and the Buccaneers last Sunday night. Drew Brees threw four touchdown passes as the Saints blasted their division foe by five touchdowns to take a half-game lead in the NFC South.
Now, the Saints will look to keep it rolling against a Niners squad that limps into town with a lengthy injury list. San Francisco is 2-4 overall and against the spread in its last six games and will start backup quarterback Nick Mullens against a New Orleans defense that just picked off Brady three times.
SportsLine's model gives Mullens a higher probability of throwing an interception than a touchdown, while Brees throws for over 250 yards and two scores as the Saints cover in well over 50 percent of simulations. The over (49) also has value since the teams combine to score 54 total points.
How to make Week 10 NFL picks.
The model has also made the call on every other game on the Week 10 NFL schedule, and has identified a Super Bowl contender that goes down hard. You can only get every pick for every game here.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 10? And which Super Bowl contender goes down hard? Check out the latest NFL odds from William Hill below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are covering in more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,600 on its top-rated NFL picks.
NFL odds, matchups for Week 10.
Sunday, Nov. 15.
Washington Football Team vs. Detroit Lions (-3, 46.5)

NFL Week 10 game picks: Rams top Seahawks; Vikings over Bears.
Around The NFL Editor.
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Gregg Rosenthal went 8-5 on his predictions for Week 9 of the 2020 NFL season, bringing his total record to 83-48-1. How will he fare in Week 10? His picks are below.
SUNDAY, NOV. 15.
Philadelphia Eagles 24, New York Giants 20.
The Eagles have played one game since beating the Giants. A rematch so soon should favor the better-coached team, but which team is that? The Eagles are far more talented with Lane Johnson and Miles Sanders on track to return and a stout defensive line well-suited to stop the Giants' steadily improving power run game.
Green Bay Packers 31, Jacksonville Jaguars 17.
The Jaguars have the NFL's worst defense and the second-hardest remaining schedule, which is a recipe for 1-15. Their rookie quarterback, Jake Luton, did not play scared last week, but he got away with some turnover-worthy plays that the Packers can capitalize on.
Washington Football Team 24, Detroit Lions 21.
Alex Smith transitioned last week from the remarkable story phase of his comeback to the he still looks like an NFL quarterback(!) stage. Now he gets a chance for a win that could start the counting the days phase of the Matt Patricia era.
Cleveland Browns 26, Houston Texans 24.
The potential return of Nick Chubb comes just in time for him to face a Texans run defense that has helped ruin Deshaun Watson's season. These teams are close to equal, despite their records, but those records serve as a reminder that the NFL is not all about the quarterback. I trust the Browns' lines and coaches more.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 33, Carolina Panthers 27Р’.
Tampa Bay ranks dead last in Football Outsiders' variance metric, an indication that no one knows which Bucs team will show up. That's a concern against a Panthers offense with many similarities to the Saints attack that just took Tampa apart. I'm still picking talent over scheme because of Carolina's poor pass rush.
Los Angeles Chargers 27, Miami Dolphins 24Р’.
The Dolphins are incredibly thin at running back. Same story at receiver after Preston Williams' injury. This only further exacerbates the talent deficiency Miami has Sunday, which makes this the toughest game to pick all week. A Fins win would be a monument to how much coaching situational football and special teams matter, but I think РїВ»С—Justin HerbertРїВ»С— is simply going to play too well to lose one of these weeks -- and he's still the rookie QB I'd roll with in this matchup.
Las Vegas Raiders 27, Denver Broncos 23.
Veteran free-agent cast-offs like РїВ»С—Devontae BookerРїВ»С— and РїВ»С—Nelson AgholorРїВ»С— making noise is a sign that Jon Gruden's system is working. He's making players better. The Broncos' offense, despite all my high hopes, still plays like less than the sum of its parts, with scant improvement since РїВ»С—Drew LockРїВ»С— returned to the lineup.
Buffalo Bills 34, Arizona Cardinals 31Р’.
The Bills' defense probably is better than the numbers suggest; just check the track record and talent. The Cardinals' defense probably isn't as good as the numbers suggested; just check the opposing quarterbacks Arizona has faced. With John Brown healthy again, the Bills are the last team that a defense short on cornerbacks wants to face.
New Orleans Saints 31, San Francisco 49ers 20.
This rematch of a 2019 classic doesn't have the same juice with the Zombie Niners involved. The score prediction could change depending on who plays for San Francisco, but Kyle Shanahan should have more players available after a brutal short week with COVID complications last time out.

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