nfl football picks 2021

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п»їNFL DFS for 2021 Super Bowl: Top DraftKings, FanDuel daily Fantasy football picks, stacks, strategy.
SportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro with almost $2M in winnings, gives optimal lineup advice.
Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes have been among the most popular NFL DFS picks all season, leading their respective teams through the playoffs to face each other in the 2021 Super Bowl. Should you invest in the 43-year-old Brady, who is trying to win a record seventh Super Bowl ring, or should you build your NFL DFS stacks around Mahomes, the defending Super Bowl MVP?
Choosing between Brady and Mahomes is just one of many parts of your NFL DFS strategy to address on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel. So, how should you formulate winning Super Bowl DFS lineups? Before making any NFL DFS picks and NFL DFS stacks for the 2021 Super Bowl, be sure to see the latest NFL DFS advice, player rankings, stacks and top daily Fantasy football picks from SportsLine's Mike McClure, a DFS pro who has won almost $2 million.
McClure crushed his NFL DFS picks in 2019, finishing as high as the top 1 percent of tournaments on DraftKings and returning as much as 40x return in some higher-stakes tournaments. He then continued his roll in the postseason, cashing on every single lineup he posted for the divisional round. Anyone who followed him saw some huge returns.
In Championship Weekend, McClure had Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill as one of his top NFL DFS picks on DraftKings. The result: Hill caught nine passes for 172 yards, returning over 26 Fantasy points on both sites! Anybody who had him in their lineups was well on the way to a profitable day.
Now, McClure has turned his attention to Super Bowl 55 and locked in his top daily Fantasy football picks. You can only see them by heading to SportsLine.
Top NFL DFS picks for Super Bowl 55.
One of McClure's top NFL DFS picks for Super Bowl 55 is Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce. He is quickly becoming one of the most dominant tight ends of all time, becoming a unanimous All-Pro selection. He set career-highs with 105 receptions, 1,416 receiving yards, and 11 touchdowns this season despite sitting out Week 17 to rest up for the playoff run.
Kelce's exceptional play has continued into the Chiefs' run back to the Super Bowl. He hauled in eight passes for 109 yards and a touchdown against the Browns and then erupted for 13 catches for 118 yards and two more TDs against the Bills in the AFC Championship Game. Kelce's play against Buffalo generated almost 40 points on DraftKings and signaled that he will be a 60-minute problem for Tampa Bay in Super Bowl LV.
Part of McClure's optimal NFL DFS strategy also includes rostering Buccaneers wide receiver Chris Godwin. He went off on Green Bay in the NFC Championship Game, catching five passes for 110 yards. He has 14 receptions for 223 yards and a touchdown in the 2021 NFL Playoffs to help send Tampa Bay back to the Super Bowl.
The fourth-year pro from Penn State caught 65 passes for 840 yards and seven touchdowns during the regular season despite missing four games due to a concussion and broken finger. Although that was a step down from Godwin's 86-catch, 1,333-yard effort from 2019, he still proved to be one of quarterback Tom Brady's primary targets. McClure believes that trend will continue in Super Bowl LV.
How to set NFL DFS lineups for Super Bowl 55.
McClure is also targeting a player who could go off for massive numbers on Super Bowl Sunday because of a dream matchup. This pick could be the difference between winning your tournaments and cash games or going home with nothing. You can only see who it is here.


2021 NFL Mock Draft.
Last update: Wednesday, Feb. 3, 2021. Major updates. Next update: Occasionally. Follow me @walterfootball for updates.
*** 2021 NFL MOCK DRAFT updated Feb. 3. This mock draft will be updated weekly. Follow @walterfootball for NFL Draft updates. *** Jacksonville Jaguars: Trevor Lawrence, QB, Clemson The Jaguars were gifted the No. 1 overall pick due to the Jets' incompetence. This was a franchise-altering turn of events that even had the mayor of Jacksonville thanking the Jets via Twitter. This is an obvious selection. The Gardner Minshew experience was fun, but it's sadly coming to an end. Minshew is a feisty quarterback, but will be relegated to backup duties because he can't throw passes longer than 15 yards.
Trevor Lawrence is locked in as the No. 1 pick in the 2021 NFL Draft. He has it all, and that includes size (6-6, 215), a big arm, accuracy and mobility.
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New York Jets: Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State The Jets made a very foolish decision to beat the Rams (and the Browns.) Now, they have a dilemma. Do they select the second-best quarterback in the class or stick with Sam Darnold? Considering that Darnold has shown no signs of becoming a franchise quarterback and has admitted to "seeing ghosts," it would be best to trade him, especially given that New York will have to pay him a large contract to retain him. It would be smart to move him for a second- or third-round pick.
Justin Fields made the egregious mistake of committing to a program with a talented, young quarterback in Jake Fromm, so he was blocked from starting. Fields, however, was able to transfer to Ohio State, where he dominated in his first season. He continued his strong play into the shortened 2020 campaign, aside from sloppy performances against Indiana and Northwestern. He seemed injured in those games, but after a long layoff, he dominated Clemson in the playoff semi-final. Drawing comparisons to Deshaun Watson, Fields should be the second- or fourth-overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.
Miami Dolphins: DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama I mocked Penei Sewell to the Dolphins prior to the national championship, but after watching that game, I don't see how this pick isn't Devonta Smith. The Alabama prospect should be the favorite to be the first non-quarterback chosen in the 2021 NFL Draft. He even makes more sense for the Dolphins, and not just because he played with Tua Tagovailoa in school. The Dolphins spent a first-round pick on a tackle last year, so re-signing two tackles to big deals in a span of 12 months can't sound appealing for management.
DeVonta Smith is an excellent route runner with great hands and tremendous run-after-catch ability. He rightfully won the Heisman and then embarrassed Ohio State in the national championship.
Atlanta Falcons: Zach Wilson, QB, BYU The Falcons have the third-worst cap situation in the NFL, and really, the second-worst only behind Philadelphia if the Saints are excluded (Drew Brees will be off the books in the wake of his retirement.) They could move on from Matt Ryan as a result. New regimes mean new quarterbacks, so this selection could be used on the third signal-caller in this class.
Zach Wilson is a smart quarterback with decent arm talent. However, there are some reported off-the-field and injury issues. Go here to read about Teams Having Concerns with Zach Wilson.
Cincinnati Bengals: Penei Sewell, OT, Oregon How lucky are the Bengals? They won some meaningless games at the end of the year to seemingly move themselves out of the Penei Sewell sweepstakes. However, there's now a decent chance he'll be available at No. 5, which is a dream come true for a team that needs to protect Joe Burrow.
Penei Sewell was so good as a sophomore, he received a second-place Heisman vote.
Philadelphia Eagles: Ja'Marr Chase, WR, LSU The Eagles tanked to move from No. 9 to 6. They claimed that they wanted to see Nate Sudfeld, when it's more likely that they saw film on DeVonta Smith and were hoping to obtain him. That's no longer likely to happen, but the Eagles can get the second stud receiver in this class, making amends for passing on another LSU player a year ago.
Chase caught 17 passes in his freshman year, then took a huge step forward in 2019, displaying the ability of a top-10 prospect.
Detroit Lions: Gregory Rousseau, DE, Miami Matthew Stafford was traded to the Rams, but I don't think they're going after a quarterback with this pick because they're likely to give Jared Goff a try for one year. If so, Detroit will focus on its other big issues, including the pass rush.
Gregory Rousseau logged double-digit sacks as a redshirt freshman in 2019. He was compared to Calais Campbell entering Miami.
Pick change; previously Trey Lance, QB.
Carolina Panthers: Micah Parsons, LB, Penn State The Panthers had an atrocious defense in 2020, as they sorely missed Luke Kuechly. They need to find a replacement to fix their putrid linebacking corps.
Looking like the next great linebacker to come out of Penn State, Micah Parsons was very productive. That was not a surprise, as Parsons was a highly athletic five-star recruit.
Denver Broncos: Jaelen Phillips, DE, Miami The Broncos may decide to make Von Miller a free agent by not exercising their club option on him. Given his age (32), massive salary, and controversial texts sent to his girlfriend, Miller may not be a Bronco next year. If so, another edge rusher will be needed.
Jaelen Phillips had a monster year in replacing the opted-out Gregory Rousseau.
Pick change; previously Gregory Rousseau, DE.
Dallas Cowboys: Rashawn Slater, OT/G/C, Northwestern The Cowboys can't trust Tyron Smith anymore. He's been injured far too often over the past few years. The defense must be addressed, but protecting Dak Prescott is most important.
Rashawn Slater can play every position on the offensive line. He some great tape against Chase Young.
New York Giants: Kyle Pitts, TE, Florida The Giants need Daniel Jones to develop. They spent a first-round pick on a tackle last year, so a No. 1 receiver makes the most sense. Kyle Pitts isn't technically a wide receiver, but he plays like one at tight end. With Pitts and Evan Engram, the Giants could utilize a potent two-tight end attack, which would really help Jones.
Pitts is a matchup nightmare, as he's too fast for linebackers and too big for safeties.
San Francisco 49ers: Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State The 49ers have been linked to some quarterbacks this offseason. It seems as though they want to give up on Jimmy Garoppolo. If they can't find an upgrade via a trade partner, perhaps they'll spend this selection on a replacement.
Trey Lance has some nice physical tools, and he's coming off a huge year in 2019. For more on him, check out Charlie Campbell's entry in the NFL Hot Press.
Pick change; previously Patrick Surtain II, CB.
Los Angeles Chargers: Alijah Vera-Tucker, OT, USC The Chargers need to protect Justin Herbert as well as possible. They have a huge hole at left tackle that must be addressed.
Alijah Vera-Tucker made a great decision to opt back in to the season. He has played extremely well at left tackle for the Trojans.
Minnesota Vikings: Christian Barmore, DE/DT, Alabama The Vikings need as much defensive help as possible. They have to bolster their defensive line to replace some recent departures.
Christian Barmore has nice length, quickness and athleticism.
New England Patriots: Jaylen Waddle, WR, Alabama With the top four quarterbacks off the board, the Patriots should wait until Day 2 to find a new signal-caller and obtain a new No. 1 receiver with this selection.
Waddle looks to be the next great Alabama receiver to enter the NFL. He's one of the quickest players in college football.
Arizona Cardinals: Caleb Farley, CB, Virginia Tech The Cardinals have major issues stopping the pass. They need a No. 2 cornerback for the present and someone to replace Patrick Peterson in the future.
Caleb Farley opted out of the 2020 season, but he has high upside with nice size and speed.
Sorry for cutting this into two halves; I've received complaints about load times and putting the mock draft on two pages saves bandwidth.


Pro Football Hall of Fame finalists: My picks for Class of 2021.
Congratulations to the 15 men selected as modern-era finalists for the Pro Football Hall of Fame's Class of 2021. It's an incredible honor, and each of them is among the greatest players in NFL history. Which makes the task of selecting five modern-era candidates for enshrinement seemingly impossible. Especially when you consider two spots have already been spoken for (yes, we'll get to them soon, but you know who they are).
(To learn more about senior finalists Drew Pearson and Tom Flores, click here; to learn more about contributor finalist Bill Nunn, click here.)
Before we dissect my picks for the Hall of Fame's Class of 2021, I'd like to note that this isn't a prediction piece. Because it appears Hall of Fame voters and I have very different definitions when it comes to who should be in the Hall of Fame.
Let's get into it.
THE MORTALEST OF MORTAL LOCKS: Peyton Manning (QB, Colts 1998-2011; Broncos 2012-15) and Charles Woodson (CB/S, Raiders, 1998-2005, 2013-15; Packers, 2006-2012) are both getting in. Manning is considered by some to be the greatest quarterback in NFL history, and he retired with numerous passing records after winning Super Bowl championships with two different franchises. There is no need to even discuss his candidacy further. Same goes for Woodson, who will add a gold jacket to a personal checklist that already includes a college national championship, a Heisman Trophy and a Super Bowl title. The only man on this planet who can even try to top that collection of accolades is Roger Staubach, who has a Super Bowl MVP over Woodson but whose Navy team lost to Texas in the national championship. (These two can argue about this after Woodson gets his automatic bid. Oh, and I guess Marcus Allen can jump into this convo, too.)
GUYS WHO SHOULD BE LOCKS: I slotted Calvin Johnson (WR, Lions, 2007-2015) over Charles Woodson when I was ranking the Hall of Fame semifinalists in November, but while I still am confident in Woodson's chances as a great player who went into television (which never hurts), I'm starting to wonder about Megatron's standing in the eyes of voters who get weird about shorter careers. Johnson played nine seasons, choosing to retire on top rather than sticking around longer to pad his stats. But he was a dominant player, a six-time Pro Bowler and three-time All-Pro who holds the single-season receiving-yards record (1,964). Plus, he played for the Lions, which should give him extra consideration. I mean, imagine him catching passes on a Manning-led team throughout his career. We might still be talking about Megatron as the best receiver in NFL history.
Jared Allen (DE, Chiefs, 2004-07; Vikings, 2008-2013; Bears, 2014-15; Panthers, 2015) should be a lock, too. But again, we have to account for the weirdness of those voters who seem to love to make these guys earn it. All that aside, let's not pretend that Allen wasn't one of the best to ever do it. He was a four-time All-Pro who led the NFL in sacks twice. I mean, unless you really don't like mullets, it's tough to think of a real reason to deny him a spot in Canton.
MY FIFTH VOTE WOULD GO TO: I'm still kind of surprised Alan Faneca (G, Steelers, 1998-2007; Jets, 2008-09; Cardinals, 2010) didn't get in last year, given that he was a great player who also played for the Steelers. No disrespect to the Steelers, but playing for that organization seems to help pave the way to Canton. (And if you think I'm talking about Jerome Bettis, you would be absolutely correct.) The voters love their Steelers. So they should do the right thing and get Faneca into the Hall. The Steelers had enough great running backs over the years to merit rewarding the guys up front.
GUY WHO SHOUD BE A LOCK BUT ISN'T EVEN A FINALIST: I really want whomever is keeping Patrick Willis (LB, 49ers, 2007-2014) from being a finalist to explain themselves. Willis was a FIVE-TIME All-Pro during his eight years. He was also the Defensive Rookie of the Year in '07. There is no reasonable explanation for why he's not already in the Hall, let alone being snubbed here.
ONE OTHER NON-FINALIST I'M NOT GIVING UP ON: Steve Tasker (ST/WR, Oilers, 1985-86; Bills, 1986-1997). Here is the deal. Either people need to stop talking about winning all three phases of the game, or Tasker needs to get into the Hall of Fame. I mean, if special teams isn't that significant, then it's fine to just say that. Actually, it's not fine, but that would at least make Tasker's exclusion a bit more honest. Otherwise, let's honor a dude who was in the Pro Bowl seemingly every year he played.
I'M NOT GOING TO BE MAD IF THEY GET IN: Zach Thomas (LB, Dolphins, 1996-2007; Cowboys, 2008) was a five-time All-Pro during his time in the NFL. He kind of gets overlooked, considering his contemporaries are Derrick Brooks, Ray Lewis and Brian Urlacher. It's kind of like being the Jim Neidhart of middle linebackers when guys like Bret and Owen Hart were getting more attention. Like Neidhart, Thomas was one of the best to ever do it, and he should receive more attention.
I would love to see the late Sam Mills (LB, Saints, 1986-1994; Panthers, 1995-97) get in at some point, too. He was a great player. He went from undrafted free agent to the USFL to the Dome Patrol of the New Orleans Saints. And don't scoff at that USFL service time. I don't want to play the semantics game, but when considering entry to the Pro Football Hall of Fame, all pro football accomplishments should be included. Hell, Hall of Fame president David Baker was the commissioner of the Arena Football League at one point. He's got to feel me on this.
I WILL HEAR ARGUMENTS FOR: My guy Reggie Wayne (WR, Colts, 2001-2014). I mean, if you wanted to do the thing where you put in Reggie with his quarterback, that would be pretty cool. It's not like Reggie isn't worthy. I know he might not have the gaudiest stats of any Hall of Fame candidate. But he was one of the most clutch receivers in the game, and he always seemed to come up with that killer, back-breaking reception. As a Bears fan, I should know.


NFL Football Free Picks and Weekly Expert Predictions [2021]
Season to Date: 33 -45 -1.
Sunday 1/24 – Bills vs Chiefs Free Pick LOSS Sunday 1/24 – Bucs vs Packers Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 1/17 – Bucs vs Saints Free Pick LOSS Sunday 1/17 – Browns vs Chiefs Free Pick WIN.
Saturday 1/16 – Ravens vs Bills Free Pick WIN Saturday 1/16 – Rams vs Packers Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 1/10 – Browns vs Steelers Free Pick LOSS Sunday 1/10 – Bears vs Saints Free Pick LOSS.
Saturday 1/9 – Bucs vs Washington Free Pick WIN Saturday 1/9 – Rams vs Seahawks Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 1/3 – Packers vs Bears Free Pick WIN Sunday 1/3 – Cowboys vs Giants Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 12/28 – Bills vs Patriots Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 12/27 – Rams vs Seahawks Free Pick LOSS.
Saturday 12/26 – Dolphins vs Raiders Free Pick LOSS.
Friday 12/25 – Vikings vs Saints Free Pick WIN.
Monday 12/21 – Steelers vs Bengals Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 12/20 – Eagles vs Cardinals Free Pick LOSS Sunday 12/20 – Chiefs vs Saints Free Pick PUSH.
Saturday 12/19 – Panthers vs Packers Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 12/17 – Chargers vs Raiders Free Pick WIN.
Monday 12/14 – Ravens vs Browns Free Pick WIN.
Sunday 12/11 – Steelers vs Bills Free Pick LOSS Sunday 12/11 – Colts vs Raiders Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 12/10 – Patriots vs Rams Free Pick WIN.
Tuesday 12/8 – Cowboys vs Ravens Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 12/7 – Bills vs 49ers Free Pick WIN.
Sunday 12/6 – Patriots vs Chargers Free Pick LOSS Sunday 12/6 – Browns vs Titans Free Pick LOSS.
Wednesday 12/2 – Ravens vs Steelers Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 11/30 – Seahawks vs Eagles Free Pick WIN.
Sunday 11/29 – Bears vs Packers Free Pick LOSS Sunday 11/29 – Chiefs vs Bucs Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 11/26 – Washington vs Cowboys Free Pick WIN Thursday 11/26 – Texans -3 over Lions WIN.
Monday 11/23 – Rams vs Bucs Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 11/22 – Packers vs Colts Free Pick WIN Sunday 11/22 – Patriots vs Texans Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 11/19 – Cardinals vs Seahawks Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 11/16 – Vikings vs Bears Free Pick WIN.
Sunday 11/15 – Ravens vs Patriots Free Pick WIN Sunday 11/15 – Bills vs Cardinals Free Pick WIN.
Thursday 11/12 – Colts vs Titans Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 11/9 – Patriots vs Jets Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 11/8 – Saints vs Bucs Free Pick LOSS Sunday 11/8 – Seahawks vs Bills Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 11/5 – Packers vs 49ers Free Pick WIN.
Monday 11/2 – Bucs vs Giants Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 11/1 – 49ers vs Seahawks Free Pick WIN Sunday 11/1 – Steelers vs Ravens Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 10/29 – Falcons vs Panthers Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 10/26 – Bears vs Rams Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 10/25 – Seahawks vs Cardinals Free Pick WIN Sunday 10/25 – 49ers vs Patriots Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 10/22 – Giants vs Eagles Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 10/18 – Rams vs 49ers Free Pick LOSS Sunday 10/18 – Packers vs Bucs Free Pick LOSS.
Tuesday 10/13 – Bills vs Titans Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 10/12 – Chargers vs Saints Free Pick WIN.
Sunday 10/11 – Vikings vs Seahawks Free Pick WIN Sunday 10/11 – Panthers vs Falcons Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 10/8 – Bucs vs Bears Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 10/5 – Falcons vs Packers Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 10/4 – Eagles vs 49ers Free Pick WIN Sunday 10/4 – Saints vs Lions Free Pick WIN.
Thursday 10/1 – Broncos vs Jets Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 9/28 – Chiefs vs Ravens Free Pick WIN.
Sunday 9/27 – Raiders vs Patriots Free Pick WIN Sunday 9/27 – Rams vs Bills Free Pick WIN.
Thursday 9/24 – Dolphins vs Jaguars Free Pick LOSS.
Monday 9/21 – Saints vs Raiders Free Pick LOSS.
Sunday 9/20 – Patriots vs Seahawks Free Pick WIN Sunday 9/20 – Falcons vs Cowboys Free Pick LOSS Sunday 9/20 – Rams vs Eagles Free Pick WIN.
Thursday 9/17 – Bengals vs Browns Free Pick WIN.
Monday 9/14 – Steelers vs Giants Free Pick WIN.
Sunday 9/13 – Cowboys vs Rams Free Pick LOSS Sunday 9/13 – Cardinals vs 49ers Free Pick WIN Sunday 9/13 – Eagles vs Washington Free Pick LOSS.
Thursday 9/10 – Texans vs Chiefs Free Pick WIN.


2021 NFL Draft: Compensatory pick projections for every team.
NFL Media Draft Analyst.
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An increasing number of NFL teams are crafting their free agency strategy around their ability to create compensatory picks by shrewdly sifting through departures and acquisitions. Adding draft capital allows teams additional chances to find a diamond in the rough. Consider as one example Darius Slayton, selected by the New York Giants with a fifth-round compensatory pick in 2019; Slayton went on to finish fifth amongst rookies in receiving yards and tied for first with eight touchdowns.
So, how do compensatory picks work?
Teams are awarded compensatory draft picks between Rounds 3 and 7 based upon a league formula that takes into account the following criteria for players who left the team to sign elsewhere as free agents: average salary per year (APY), snap count and postseason awards. While there is an expected level of compensation for a player based on the amount he has signed for, his playing time (or lack thereof) in the upcoming season could alter the expectation. To qualify for compensatory picks, teams must end up with more qualifying free agents lost than gained in a particular year.
The number of compensatory picks allotted each year is limited to the number of teams in the league (32), per the collective bargaining agreement. However, compensatory picks are not divided up equally among the teams, and no team can receive more than four compensatory picks in a single year.
There were alterations to the methodology of determining compensatory value/picks with this year's collective bargaining agreement. It's likely that we will see most, if not all, of the compensatory picks land between Rounds 3 and 6 because of these changes.
The compensatory picks for the 2021 NFL Draft won't be determined by the NFL Management Council's formula until after the 2020 season is over, but in this post I'll attempt to project which teams will be receiving compensatory picks next year and the round in which those picks could fall.
Keep in mind: Players need to have been signed as unrestricted free agents before April 27 and rank high enough among their peers to qualify for the compensatory-pick formula. They also cannot have been released by their previous team. Only those notable players who are projected to be eligible for the compensatory-pick formula are included among the key additions and losses listed below.
TEAM PROJECTED TO RECEIVE FOUR PICKS.
DALLAS COWBOYS.
Projected compensatory picks: One apiece in Rounds 3, 4, 5 and 6. Key free-agent losses: Byron Jones (Dolphins), Robert Quinn (Bears), Randall Cobb (Texans), Maliek Collins (Raiders). Key free-agent additions: Gerald McCoy (Panthers), Ha Ha Clinton-Dix (Bears), Greg Zuerlein (Rams). Comp-pick analysis: Dallas lost seven total qualifying free agents and gained three, with the additions of McCoy and Clinton-Dix canceling out the losses of Collins and Jason Witten. Dallas will be without a couple of late-round picks next season thanks to trades they've made, but they will add plenty of ammunition, thanks to the four compensatory picks that should be coming their way.




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