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п»їNFL Week 2 odds, picks, how to watch: Vikings upset Colts while Packers score another divisional victory.
CBS NFL writer Jordan Dajani gives his picks for Week 2 of the NFL season.
Week 1 of the NFL season was everything we possibly could have wanted. We saw several highlight-reel plays and even a few upsets that I'm convinced no one could have predicted. I guess that's why I feel a little cheated with how my top five picks fared this past week. While I called the Green Bay Packers beating the Minnesota Vikings and the New Orleans Saints downing Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, I got burnt by the Washington Football Team upsetting the Philadelphia Eagles and the Indianapolis Colts losing to the Jacksonville Jaguars. I'm not sure anyone could claim that they saw those two results coming. Additionally, I took the Tennessee Titans to beat the Denver Broncos by three points when they only won by two. Thanks Stephen Gostkowski. Either way, we got our feet wet and are now ready to capitalize on what is sure to be an entertaining Week 2.
I'm picking another upset that has to do with the Vikings this week and then hopping on four other teams to stay undefeated. Let's jump in.
All odds courtesy of William Hill Sportsbook.
Top five picks record: 2-3 Overall record: 7-8-1.
Week 2 is finally here, so who should you pick? Pete Prisco, R.J. White and SportsLine's Kenny White join Will Brinson on the Pick Six Podcast to breakdown their best bets, gambling advice and more; listen below and be sure to subscribe for daily NFL goodness.
Minnesota Vikings at Indianapolis Colts.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: Colts -3.
The Colts registered one of the ugliest losses of Week 1. Philip Rivers threw two interceptions during his Colts debut, and the Indy secondary made Gardner Minshew look like Joe Montana. As for the Vikings, their season-opening loss wasn't too bad. I will admit that 43 points is too much to allow with how stout Minnesota's defense is supposed to be, but I think people are sleeping on the Packers in general and they have a great shot to win all six divisional games for the second season in a row. Kirk Cousins didn't have a terrible game, as he completed 19 of 25 passes for 259 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. That passing game took somewhat of a step back without Stefon Diggs, but Adam Thielen certainly did all he could to pick up the slack with six catches for 110 yards and two touchdowns. This week, it's not really going to matter since the Colts secondary is abysmal. Minshew currently has the best completion percentage of any starting quarterback in the league, so Cousins is a must-start in fantasy this week to me. It's wild that the Colts are favored in this matchup, so I'm going to jump on this line before it shifts towards the Vikings.
The pick: Vikings 30-21.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers.
Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: Packers -6.
Aaron Rodgers is heading back to Lambeau after a great Week 1 and he has an opportunity to score another divisional win against the Lions this Sunday. He passed for 364 yards and four touchdowns last week against the Vikings, which marked career game No. 60 with over 300 passing yards. That ties for the fourth-most in NFL history. Rodgers is 15-5 in his career against the Lions and has recorded 41 touchdowns as opposed to just eight interceptions in those 20 games. The Lions blew a 17-point lead in the fourth quarter to Mitchell Trubisky and the Chicago Bears last week, so I'm confident the Packers can take care of business here in Week 2. While Green Bay has won the past two against Detroit, the Packers haven't beaten the Lions by double digits since 2014. I think that changes on Sunday.
The pick: Packers 38-20.
Baltimore Ravens at Houston Texans.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Ravens -7.
Remember when Deshaun Watson and Lamar Jackson faced off last year? The matchup was advertised as this showdown between two up-and-coming star quarterbacks who would duke it out in a shootout. What those advertisements failed to mention was that the Ravens were a much better team. Jackson and Co. won 41-7, and the Ravens appear to be just as good in 2020 after registering a 32-point win over the Cleveland Browns in the season opener. I wasn't very impressed with the Texans passing game without DeAndre Hopkins, and Watson only targeted two wide receivers in the first three quarters of their 14-point loss to the Kansas City Chiefs. While we all know Jackson is a star, Marquise Brown appears ready for a breakout season and rookie J.K. Dobbins just made the best rushing offense in the league better. I feel comfortable taking the Ravens to win by a touchdown.
The pick: Ravens 35-24.
Washington Football Team at Arizona Cardinals.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox) Point spread: Cardinals -6.5.
Washington's defensive line looks scary. Chase Young and Co. got to Carson Wentz eight times last Sunday, but they were up against several backups on the offensive line and Wentz really had trouble stepping up/getting out of the pocket. Kyler Murray is one of the more athletic quarterbacks in the league, so I'm confident he can evade Washington's pass rush much more effectively than Wentz did. Another reason I like the Cardinals in this matchup is because of their passing attack. With Hopkins, Larry Fitzgerald, Christian Kirk and then Chase Edmonds and Kenyan Drake, Murray has no shortage of weapons to use against a subpar secondary. Washington did intercept Wentz twice last week, but both of those miscues could be attributed to the pass rush. I got burned by Washington last week, but I think the Cardinals are a team on the rise.
The pick: Cardinals 28-17.
Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers.
Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (CBS) Point spread: Chiefs -8.5.
This is a large spread, but I'm going to go ahead and jump on it. The Chiefs have won 11 out of their past 12 against the Chargers and seven of those victories came by double digits. The Chargers' new uniforms looked great, but the same can't be said for their play on the field in the season opener. It really felt like Joe Burrow was about to register a win in his first NFL game, but Randy Bullock's embarrassing missed field goal led to a different outcome. Tyrod Taylor wasn't very impressive in his Chargers debut, as he completed 16 of 30 passes for 208 yards. Los Angeles scored just one touchdown and went 6 of 16 on third downs. The Chargers also failed to convert on either of their two fourth downs. It was a pretty ugly game, and Joey Bosa is also dealing with a triceps injury that caused him to miss Wednesday's practice. I expect him to play, but I don't think he will be 100 percent on Sunday.
The pick: Chiefs 35-13.
Other Week 1 picks.
Week 2 college football picks, games, odds: LSU, Michigan, Washington on upset alert.
Parsing through the Week 2 schedule to find the best bets against the experts in Vegas.
What a week to bring back upset alerts. You know by now that Tennessee (-24.5) was stunned by Georgia State 38-30 in Week 1 while SEC East comrade Missouri lost at Wyoming 37-31. There were near upsets, too, with teams like Iowa State needing three overtimes to hold off Northern Iowa. But looking ahead to Week 2? The opportunities to gamble against Vegas oddsmakers are . let's just say they're rarer. Oh well, that only makes them sweeter (and more lucrative).
Each week, I'll give you the top five upset alert games based on matchups, injuries/suspensions and other factors. But in the spirit of the upset, I generally avoid games where lines are within a touchdown -- though there will be some exceptions throughout the year. Similarly, I'll only go with moneyline picks when the payout is around 2:1. Maybe a little less, definitely when it's more.
Finally, I like to go on the record with my picks by keeping tabs. The scoring system is exactly the same as it is for our weekly expert picks with season-long tallies against the spread (ATS) and straight-up (SU). Since there were no upset alerts in Week 1, we're starting from scratch.
Important disclaimer: "upset" is defined first and foremost by the point spread or moneyline, not rankings.
Army at No. 7 Michigan.
When: Saturday, noon ET | Where: Ann Arbor, Michigan | Line: Michigan -23.
Army's key to the game: You know the drill by now. The Black Knights have to play one big ol' game of keep away while holding on to the ball. That's not as easy as it sounds, especially against a stout defensive front.
Michigan's key to the game: Play cleaner on offense. The Wolverines were 5 of 13 on third downs against Middle Tennessee. They also fumbled twice including once on special teams which led to two of Middle Tennessee's three touchdowns. That's how you keep the other team hanging around.
Pick: Look, Michigan is clearly better, but this could get interesting if Army keeps it within single digits in the second half. The Wolverines should have enough beef to grind this one out, though. ATS: Army, SU: Michigan.
West Virginia at Missouri.
When: Saturday, noon ET | Where: Columbia, Missouri | Line: Missouri -14.
Why it's listed: If there's one SEC team that may not recover from its opening week loss, it's Missouri. Neither team is very good here, but West Virginia played the more disciplined game in Week 1. If Mizzou is still shell-shocked from losing at Wyoming, a noon kickoff against a team that has some confidence in itself might make for a slow start.
West Virginia's key to the game: This is not Dana Holgorsen's 'Eers. They're not a big-play offense, but finding even a little more running room for this stable of backs could go a long way in slowing the game down to their preferred pace. Averaging 1.4 yards per rush again isn't going to get it done.
Missouri's key to the game: The Tigers can't beat themselves. That's not to say Wyoming didn't earn its "W," but three turnovers is a surefire way to lose most games. Otherwise, there are some matchup problems in the receiving game that'll benefit this team.
Pick: The Mountaineers are well-coached -- Neal Brown made good second-half adjustments vs. James Madison -- but this is still a rebuilding group. The first road game of the year is probably too much for them to win, but their defense gives the Tigers a legitimate scare. ATS: West Virginia, SU: Missouri.
No. 6 LSU at No. 9 Texas.
Why it's listed: Even casual bettors know Longhorns coach Tom Herman is aces as a dog: 13-2-1 against the spread (8-2-1 at Texas) with 10 outright wins. He's also 2-0 against the SEC at Texas. It's not the largest payout for a moneyline, but if you want to earn an extra 75-80 cents on the dollar for an outright pick, the math says Herman is a solid bet.
Texas' key to the game: The Longhorns offensive line holds the key to everything. LSU's defense is fast and aggressive. Texas is also down to about 1.5 running backs. Life for the Horns is either going to be OK or hellish based on the blocking up front by this new-look group.
LSU's key to the game: Was Joe Burrow's five passing touchdowns against Georgia Southern a product of talent disparity or a sign of real, long-promised changes to the offense? Either way, he was doing it at 10.3 yards per attempt with only four incompletions. Texas' pass defense was fine against Louisiana Tech but could be more susceptible with some questions remaining in the defensive backfield.
Miami at North Carolina.
North Carolina's key to the game : Freshman quarterback Sam Howell is a little uneven, but goodness was he fun to watch against the Gamecocks. Miami's defense poses a bigger threat, but there's no denying the kid's arm talent and moxie.
Miami's key to the game: Block somebody. This was a big issue against Florida in Week 0. Freshman quarterback Jarren Williams definitely stepped up and delivered when he had some time, though. His future looks bright, he just needs a good enough pocket to see it.
Cal at No. 14 Washington.
When: Saturday, 10:30 p.m. ET | Where: Seattle, Washington | Line: Washington -14.
Why it's listed: You may recall that Cal completely bewildered Washington a season ago in a 12-10 victory. Well, Golden Bears linebacker Evan Weaver, an All-American candidate, is back. The Huskies looked great against Eastern Washington in Week 1, but this a much stiffer defense.
Cal's key to the game: It has to generate some offense. The Bears were pretty putrid on third down a week ago against UC-Davis, and I doubt they can win another 12-10-like game vs. the Huskies this time around. Good news is running back Christopher Brown Jr. is the type of dude who can get stronger as the game goes on.
Washington's key to the game: How do the pass-catchers fare? Wide receivers like Aaron Fuller and Andre Baccellia have speed but lack ideal size against big, physical corners. Tight end Hunter Bryant may need to have a huge day. But, again, Cal's pass defense is solid across the board.
Pick: Jacob Eason gives Washington something his predecessor, Jake Browning, did not: a reliable deep ball. A few big plays to stretch the field might be the difference here. But Cal is a tough out. ATS: Cal, SU: Washington.
So what picks can you make with confidence in Week 2, and which favored top-25 team goes down hard? Visit SportsLine now to see which teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from a proven computer model that has returned over $4,500 in profit over the past four seasons.
NFL odds, picks, predictions for Week 2, 2020: Advanced computer model backing Ravens, Chiefs.
SportsLine's computer model simulated every Week 2 NFL game 10,000 times with surprising results.
Two of the most surprising teams in the league play each other on Sunday for the right to start 2-0 as Washington visits the Arizona Cardinals at 4:05 p.m. ET. Washington rallied from a 17-point deficit to beat the Eagles 27-17 last weekend, while the Cardinals overcame two fourth-quarter deficits to upend the defending NFC champion 49ers, 24-20. Washington's victory puts them alone atop the NFC East, but Arizona is a seven-point favorite in the latest Week 2 NFL odds from William Hill.
Can Dwayne Haskins and Washington keep up the momentum and improve to 2-0, or will Kyler Murray and Arizona stay undefeated atop the NFC West? And which team will cover one of the largest NFL spreads this week? All of the Week 2 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Week 2 NFL picks now.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and is up over $7,400 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five years ago.
After going 4-0 on top-rated picks in Week 1, it enters Week 2 of the 2020 NFL season on an incredible 100-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has examined the latest Week 2 NFL odds and lines, simulated every snap, and its predictions are in. Head to SportsLine now to see them all.
Top NFL predictions for Week 2.
One of the top Week 2 NFL predictions the model recommends: the Ravens (-7) cover against the Texans. Baltimore looked dominant last week against the Browns, easily covering a touchdown spread after winning by 32 points.
This week, the model is calling for more of the same from Lamar Jackson and company. It's calling for three total scores from the Ravens' quarterback in a decisive 30-18 victory. Baltimore runs for almost 200 yards, while Texans quarterback Lamar Jackson has nearly the same chance of throwing an interception as a touchdown. Baltimore covers in nearly 60 percent of simulations.
Another one of the top Week 2 NFL picks from the model: The Chiefs (-8.5) cover as road favorites against the Chargers. The Chiefs looked strong against the Texans in Week 1, winning 34-20. Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes threw for 211 yards and three touchdowns, while rookie Clyde Edwards-Helaire ran through the rain for 138 yards and another score.
While the Chargers weren't as dominant in Week 1, the result was the same. Los Angeles engineered a fourth-quarter rally to upend Cincinnati 16-13, with Tyrod Taylor throwing for 208 yards and Austin Ekeler adding 84 rushing yards.
The Chiefs are riding a six-game winning streak against the spread versus teams with winning records and are 11-1 against the number in their last 12 September games. SportsLine's model says Mahomes throws for over 280 yards and two touchdowns and that Edwards-Helaire is the game's leading rusher, with the Chiefs covering in almost 60 percent of simulations. The over (47.5) also clears well over 50 percent of the time.
How to make Week 2 NFL picks.
The model also has made the call on the big Seahawks vs. Patriots matchup on Sunday Night Football as well as every other game on the Week 2 NFL schedule. It's also identified a favorite that loses outright in a surprising upset. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
What NFL picks can you make with confidence in Week 2? And which favorite gets stunned? Check out the latest NFL odds below and then visit SportsLine to see which NFL teams are winning more than 50 percent of simulations, all from the model that is up over $7,400 on its top-rated NFL picks.
NFL Predictions Week 2: Upset Picks and Projections.
Week 1 of the 2020 NFL season certainly didn't lack upsets.
Perhaps most notable among the Week 1 results was the San Francisco 49ers, the defending NFC champions, losing 24-20 at home to the NFC West-rival Arizona Cardinals. The Washington Football Team also upset the Philadelphia Eagles, while the Jacksonville Jaguars notched a surprising victory over the Indianapolis Colts.
Now, the focus shifts to Week 2. And while there may not be too many enticing underdogs to bet on this week, there are still some upset possibilities. Of course, based on Week 1, there could also be more surprises in store this weekend.
Here are odds and picks for every Week 2 matchup, followed by several upsets to potentially watch out for.
Week 2 Odds, Picks.
Picks in bold, made against the spread.
Cincinnati at Cleveland (-6)
N.Y. Giants at Chicago (-5.5)
Atlanta at Dallas (-4)
Detroit at Green Bay (-6.5)
Jacksonville at Tennessee (-9)
Minnesota at Indianapolis (-3)
Buffalo (-5.5) at Miami.
San Francisco (-7) at N.Y. Jets.
L.A. Rams (-1) at Philadelphia.
Denver at Pittsburgh (-7.5)
Carolina at Tampa Bay (-9.5)
Washington at Arizona (-6.5)
Kansas City (-8.5) at L.A. Chargers.
Baltimore (-7) at Houston.
New England at Seattle (-4)
New Orleans (-6) at Las Vegas.
Potential Week 2 Upsets.
The Vikings offense may no longer have wide receiver Stefon Diggs, but this is a unit that should still lead the team to some success this season. Quarterback Kirk Cousins, running back Dalvin Cook and wide receiver Adam Thielen are among Minnesota's offensive leaders, and even though the offense started slow in Week 1, that's not likely to happen every week.
Only a three-point underdog, there's a solid chance that the Vikings not only cover the spread, but also upset the Colts on the road. Indianapolis lost its season opener at Jacksonville and will also be looking to bounce back. However, these teams should play a competitive game.
Minnesota scored 24 fourth-quarter points in its loss to Green Bay. If it can carry that momentum over to this week, perhaps it will establish some early offense. It was a positive sign that Cook and Thielen each scored a pair of touchdowns and appear ready to lead the unit this season.
While the Vikings defense may have some issues (it allowed 522 total yards to the Packers), it might be a bit better than those numbers indicated. And if the unit can play just well enough to let the offense do its thing, then there's a reasonable chance Minnesota notches its first win of the year on Sunday.
Two of the teams that pulled off the biggest Week 1 upsets now go head-to-head in Week 2. And although both impressed during their surprise victories, the Cardinals are a decent-sized favorite at home as they look to begin the season 2-0.
That line may be an opportunity for bettors to potentially cash in on what could be a competitive game. Washington's defensive front is strong, which it showed by collecting eight sacks against Philadelphia. And if it can put the pressure on Arizona quarterback Kyler Murray early, perhaps that will give its offense some time to establish a rhythm and get out front early.
It seems probable that this game will be decided by six or fewer points, and because of that, Washington could be in line for a second straight upset win. Head coach Ron Rivera lived up to his "Riverboat Ron" nickname in Week 1 by converting a late fourth-down attempt in the red zone to lead his team to victory over the Eagles.
Rivera may get the most out of his players this season, and because of that, perhaps Washington overperforms and gets faster development from some of its young players than initially expected. Don't count out Washington in Week 2 just because it's a 6.5-point underdog.
Here's another road team that may be able to either cover the spread or pull off an upset win in Week 2. And that's because the Patriots' Week 1 showing may have just been a glimpse of what they're capable of.
This isn't the same New England team as years past, as it may rely heavily on its running game on offense while allowing its top-tier defense to win games. In Week 1, the Pats rushed for 217 yards and three touchdowns while holding the Dolphins to 11 points and 269 total yards, forcing three turnovers.
Now, the challenge will be much greater in Week 2 as the Patriots are facing the Seahawks. But quarterback Cam Newton now has a game with New England under his belt, and he may only get better as he gets more time in its offense, assuming he stays healthy (and he looked healthy in Week 1).
The Pats may be on their way to pulling off an upset victory Sunday night. They are a Bill Belichick-led team after all, so expect them to at least play a competitive contest even if they don't pull out the win.
Surefire football picks for week 2.
Week 1 of the NFL regular season had a few surprises - Cardinals over 49ers? David Johnson back? - and now we get to see if they'll stick.
Here's a look at some guys I like, and some guys I don't like, in this week's matchups.
Start 'em.
QB Aaron Rodgers vs. Lions.
This feels like a no-brainer. Rodgers looked like a new man in Week 1 against the Vikings' porous secondary, throwing for 364 yards and four touchdowns with a sky-high completion percentage. Now he gets the Lions' defense, a unit which allowed Mitch Trubisky - yes, that Mitch Trubisky! - to throw for 242 yards and three touchdowns in a comeback win. Rodgers and the Packers should roll on offense this weekend.
RB Jonathan Taylor vs. Vikings.
WR CeeDee Lamb vs. Falcons.
The Seahawks tore Atlanta's secondary apart in Week 1 to the tune of 322 passing yards and four touchdowns from Russell Wilson. Dak Prescott isn't Russ, but the Cowboys' passing game is loaded with talent, which means Dallas should thrive this week. Lamb caught five balls on six targets in his first career game, for 59 yards, and while Amari Cooper is clearly this offense's first option, Lamb should see plenty of favorable matchups on Sunday.
TE Dallas Goedert vs. Rams.
Boy, did Goedert prove a lot of people (including myself) wrong about the way the Eagles' tight end situation would look this season. Goedert might already be the best tight end on the Eagles' roster, and with Zach Ertz dropping a key fourth down pass in Week 1 against Washington, and Goedert putting up mammoth numbers, you can bet he'll be Carson Wentz's No. 1 safety valve target again this week. Don't worry about the Rams keeping Blake Jarwin in check: Dallas's offense is wide receiver-dependent, while the Eagles' offense is tight end-dependent. Goedert should eat again.
Sit 'em.
QB Gardner Minshew vs. Titans.
Don't fall for it. Minshew had a surprisingly, almost impossibly efficient first week against the Colts, throwing for three touchdowns. But he also amassed just 173 yards, threw just 20 times, was sacked four times, and now faces a stout Titans defense that held a weapons-filled Denver offense in check in Week 1. Minshew has thrown for three touchdowns in just three of his 15 career games, and averages less than 230 yards per game for his career. Week 1 was an anomaly, not a sign of things to come.
RB Antonio Gibson vs. Cardinals.
Washington's decision to cut Adrian Peterson had many wondering if Gibson would be the Football Team's leading option at running back this season, despite the potential committee approach. In Week 1, he wasn't exactly flooded with touches, and he basically disappeared in the red zone, with the team instead opting for Peyton Barber at RB. Gibson did flash potential when he was called on, but I need to see way more from the rookie before considering him a starting option.
WR DeSean Jackson vs. Rams.
Jackson felt like a surefire start last week against Washington, a clear deep threat against a underwhelming team in Week 1. But he couldn't stay on the field, and if Jackson's past injury history is any indication, combined with his age, I really don't think you can rely on Jackson for anything consistent right now. The Eagles took deep shots in Week 1, but they're still a tight end-first pass game, and with Miles Sanders returning, that makes even fewer touches available for Jackson. This is a wait-and-see situation.
TE Noah Fant vs. Steelers.
Fant had a great first week, even in a low-scoring game against the Titans, and will obviously be Drew Lock's first option at the TE position all year long. He could have a huge 2020. But! The Steelers have one of the best defenses in the league, including two excellent coverage options against tight ends in Minkah Fitzpatrick and Devin Bush. Pittsburgh's defense held Giants tight end Evan Engram, normally a sturdy fantasy option, to two catches and nine yards. Fant will take a step back in Week 2.
Sleeper.
RB Benny Snell vs. Denver.
Snell is enticing, but not a guarantee. James Conner is dealing with injury issues, and even if he's ready to play Sunday he won't be the Steelers' bellcow. Snell, on the other hand, had a great Week 1, averaging nearly six yards per carry. He's not a PPR threat - he saw just one target in the passing game against the Giants - but he should get plenty of ground touches. Snell still might be touchdown dependent, though, which makes me iffy about his season-long potential. I need to see more.
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